The first new nuclear power plants in decades -- hot-tub-size minireactors -- are being developed by Toshiba, Hyperion Power Generation and NuScale Power. The miniplants can create enough electricity to power a town of about 25,000 homes. Municipal uses aren’t likely, though. In four to five years, the miniplants will show up in remote spots for heavy industrial uses, such as oil extraction from tar sands or water desalination.
Mininukes are getting a boost from environmental concerns about burning fossil fuels, which spew out carbon dioxide, implicated as the chief villain in global warming. It will be far cheaper to install a pint-size nuclear generating plant to produce electricity or heat than to build a coal- or natural gas-fired plant that requires costly carbon dioxide burial. It’ll also be a lot cheaper than purchasing carbon credits to offset the impact of fossil fuel pollution.
Mininukes aren't just suited to replace power generating stations. Hyperion Power Generation's unit should save around $2 billion over five years when used to replace gas-powered steam engines common in oil fields.
Look for Toshiba to be the first to get the nod from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) to build miniature nuclear generators. The reactor, dubbed 4S and built by Toshiba and its Westinghouse Electric subsidiary, will have a generating capacity of 10 to 50 megawatts (MW). That's a pipsqueak compared with full-size nuclear generating stations with capacities of about 1,000 MW to 1,600 MW.
Hyperion is likely to get the OK a little later, but it has big plans to start building 4,000 or so 27 MW reactors at a New Mexico plant within four years or so. NuScale Power also expects to field a 45 MW unit.
In 2014 or 2015, look for the first new full-size plant to come on line, followed by a score or more of additional facilities erected within a handful of years. They will be the first new nuclear power generating facilities to crank up since the late 1970s.
In fact, demand will be large enough to support assembly-line production. The Shaw Group and Westinghouse Electric are building an enormous facility in Lake Charles, La., to mass-produce control systems, piping, steel reinforcing and other components for a standardized plant, the AP1000.
Only the reactor core needs to be built on-site. About half of the 20 or so new full-size nuclear power plants now seeking NRC approval will use this Westinghouse-designed reactor. The Shaw/Westinghouse commitment to spend about $100 million to build the plant is a major step toward the nuclear renaissance, as Kiplinger first forecast in 2004.
"The fact that these companies are making an investment of this size shows they believe the potential for a significant commercial nuclear power market is real," says Adrian Heymer, senior director for new plant deployment at the Nuclear Energy Institute.
The atom plant assembly line will trigger a wave of orders for suppliers nationwide. They’ll get around $18 billion over the next decade in new business -- everything from high tech to basic materials, including computers, control electronics, software, display consoles, steel, machine and specialty tools, wiring, concrete and asphalt.
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POSTED BY: Nomen (October 27, 2008 09:40 PM)
Well Rod, how are you going to safely transport and bury all that hot nuclear waste from 1000s of minplants? While cleaner coal plants should be considered an intermediate and partial step(notice that I also included wind and solar). Wastes like SO2 could be commercially valuable if reclaimed. While it will take many years for the current CO2 levels to come down naturally, it will be many thousands of years before the nuclear waste would be safe. As a naval officer you seem to think that the civilian world will be as well trained and disciplined. NOT A CHANCE!!! A few pennies profit throws all that out the window. If businesses and our government didn't keep easily testable lead painted toys off the shelves last Christmas,how will they do with 1000s of miniplants? I remember Love Canal.
POSTED BY: Rod Adams (October 30, 2008 02:50 AM)
@Nomen - First of all, we have been safely storing and transporting radioactive materials for well over 50 years. People who opposed the use of radioactive materials as fossil fuel replacements often raise the idea that nuclear materials remain radioactive for long periods of time, but that, by itself should be of no real concern. After all, the raw material that we use as fuel is already radioactive and has been for the entire history of the planet. The more abundant isotope of uranium has a half life of 4.5 billion years and thorium has a half life of 14 billion years.
If the time that a material remains radioactive is really important, it should be encouraging to know that nuclear reactors turn that long lived material into products with half lives that are almost all less than 30 years.
With only a few minor exceptions, the only long lived materials that are produced in a reactor can be recycled into new fuel where they will again have a good chance of being converted into relatively short lived materials. Since the ultimate waste material - the stuff that cannot be reused as fuel - has a half life of less than 30 years, the required storage before the radiation is insignificant is only about 150 years (5 half lives) or 300 years (10 half lives) if you are really really afraid of minor radiation doses.
The criteria set by the EPA for Yucca Mountain demonstrates just how silly our imposed fear of radiation has become. The engineers have been told that they have to design the facility to a standard where no person can potentially be exposed to 15 mrem per year from material stored in that facility. The average person in the US receives an annual dose today from natural sources of about 350 mrem and an overall average of 700 mrem if medical exposures are averaged over the population. Of course that average hides an enormous variation with the least exposed people - probably nuclear submariners who spend much of the year sealed away from cosmic radiation and radon - getting less than 150 and the most exposed - probably cancer patients - getting tens of thousands of mrem. What sense does it make to have a standard of 15?
Storing and handling radioactive materials is not hard. If you get taught simple principles like "time, distance, and shielding" you can live and work around radioactive materials with a great deal of safety. Unfortunately there is no similar protection against the long term health effects of fossil fuel pollution since the only way that industry handles its deadly waste is to dump it constantly into our common environment.
I get the sneaking suspicion that the coal industry would love your message, Nomen. They do not like the idea of lots of new nuclear plants because they know that they will lose market share and profits. The natural gas industry and the petroleum industry are similarly afraid of the competition that nuclear power can provide.
Final thought - I did notice that you included wind and solar, but those weather dependent, intermittent and very expensive power sources have been around since the earth was formed. Humans have known that they can be harnessed to do work for thousands of years. Very smart humans learned several hundred years ago how to build very refined shapes to collect wind power and drive sailing ships and windmills, but they lost in commercial competition to even very primitive coal fired steam plants. There is a reason that dozens of generations of scientists and engineers have not been satisfied with waiting for the sun to shine or the wind to blow.
POSTED BY: Nomen (November 17, 2008 07:40 PM)
Rod, save the sales pitch. I know the numbers and how the real world operates. THE ISSUE IS AND WILL BE SAFETY. Miniplants will be an unacceptable hazard. PERIOD.
I am puzzled by your contempt for wind and solar. Too much competition or just too safe??