Kiplinger's Economic Calendar and Analysis for This Week (October 13-17)

The economic calendar could be disrupted this week if the government shutdown continues, delaying some key data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, there's still plenty to hold Wall Street's attention – namely, an early week appearance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Tuesday, October 14: Fed Chair Powell speaks: Chair Powell will participate in a moderated discussion at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting in Philadelphia.

This week's economic calendar has several reports that could be delayed or cancelled due to the government shutdown. Those are marked with an asterisk (*).

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Read on to see the entire weekly economic calendar of the most important upcoming economic reports scheduled to be released in the next several days. At times, we provide expanded previews and recaps for select reports.

Please check back often. This economic calendar is updated regularly. Bolded reports are those considered more noteworthy. All reporting times are in Eastern Time.

Economic calendar highlights

Monday (10/13)

As a reminder, while Monday, October 13, is not a stock market holiday, the bond market will be closed for the Columbus Day, or Indigenous Peoples' Day, holiday.

Tuesday (10/14)

Powell speech suggests an October rate cut is still on track

The stock market tends to listen when Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks. That's why Tuesday morning's moderated discussion is one of the most anticipated events on the economic calendar.

Powell's participation at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting comes ahead of the next Fed meeting, which runs from October 28 through 29.

In an early afternoon, Chair Powell stated that the central bank is nearing a point where it can stop reducing bond holdings on its balance sheet, a process known as "quantitative tightening" that it has been undertaking since mid-2022.

Powell also said that while the government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic reports, the central bank is still reviewing a "wide variety of public- and private-sector data that have remained available."

Based on the data that they do have, he noted that it's "fair to say that the outlook for employment and inflation does not appear to have changed much since our September meeting four weeks ago."

And the market took this as confirmation that the Fed will issue another quarter-percentage-point rate cut at its meeting later this month. According to CME FedWatch, futures traders are currently pricing in 97% odds that this will happen – up from 79% one month ago.

Wednesday (10/15)

The September CPI release date is moved from October 15 to October 24

At the September Fed meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee noted that "inflation has moved up and remains somewhat elevated." However, the central bank still cut rates by a quarter-percentage point as it viewed downside risks to the labor market as a more pressing concern.

And the release of September CPI and core CPI is a key event on the economic calendar.

The inflation update was supposed to be released on Wednesday morning, but it will be delayed due to the government shutdown.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the September CPI will be published on Friday, October 24, at 8:30 am EST. However, the BLS also said that "no other releases will be rescheduled or produced until the resumption of regular government services."

Thursday (10/16)

Friday (10/17)

Reporting schedules are provided Forex Factory and MarketWatch.

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• When Is the Next Fed Meeting?
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• Kiplinger's Economic Forecasts
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