Kiplinger's Economic Calendar and Analysis for This Week (November 3-7)

This week's economic calendar features the ADP employment report and the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.

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(Image credit: Getty Images)

The economic calendar will again be impacted by the ongoing government shutdown, with key data – including the October jobs report – likely to be delayed. Market participants will look to Wednesday's release of the ADP National Employment Report to fill the void.

Wednesday, November 5: ADP National Employment Report: Private payrolls declined in September. Will October's data follow a similar trend?

Friday, November 7: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index: Wall Street will look to Friday's report to see if the shutdown is starting to weigh on consumer confidence.

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Reports that could be delayed or cancelled due to the government shutdown are marked with an asterisk (*).

Read on to see the entire weekly economic calendar of the most important upcoming economic reports scheduled to be released in the next several days. At times, we provide expanded previews and recaps for select reports.

Please check back often. This economic calendar is updated regularly. Bolded reports are those considered more noteworthy. All reporting times are in Eastern Time.


Economic calendar highlights

Monday (11/3)

Swipe to scroll horizontally
Noteworthy economic reports

Economic report

Period

Time released

S&P Global Final Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

October

9:45 am

Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI

October

10 am

Construction spending*

September

10 am

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks

N/A

12 pm

Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks

N/A

2 pm

Tuesday (11/4)

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Noteworthy economic reports

Economic report

Period

Time released

Trade balance*

September

8:30 am

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)*

September

10 am

Factory orders*

September

10 am

Wednesday (11/5)

Swipe to scroll horizontally
Noteworthy economic reports

Economic report

Period

Time released

ADP National Employment Report

October

8:15 am

S&P Global Final Services PMI

October

9:45 am

ISM Services PMI

October

10 am

Will private payrolls shrink again?

Private data is taking a more prominent role amid the ongoing government shutdown, which makes Wednesday morning's release of the ADP National Employment Report a key event on the economic calendar.

"Ordinarily, ADP's estimate of monthly employment is of secondary importance to macroeconomic trainspotters," says Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank. "It's usually used mostly to preview job growth in the government's employment report, which comes out two days after the ADP release in normal times."

In September, U.S. private employers shed 32,000 positions, according to ADP, underscoring a weakening trend in the labor market. Small- and midsized firms saw the biggest job losses, while leisure and hospitality led industry declines.

Another weak reading could encourage the Fed to lower rates again in December.

Thursday (11/6)

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Noteworthy economic reports

Economic report

Period

Time released

Weekly jobless claims*

Week ending November 1

8:30 am

Productivity and labor costs*

Q3

8:30 am

Wholesale inventories*

September

10 am

New York Fed President John Williams speaks

N/A

11 am

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack speaks

N/A

12 pm

Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson speaks

N/A

4:30 pm

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks

N/A

5:30 pm

Friday (11/7)

Swipe to scroll horizontally
Noteworthy economic reports

Economic report

Period

Time released

Fed Governor Philip Jefferson speaks

N/A

7 am

Nonfarm payrolls report*

October

8:30 am

Personal income and spending*

October

8:30 am

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary)

November

10 am

Consumer credit*

September

3 pm

Is the shutdown weighing on consumer confidence?

Friday morning's release of the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for November is a key event on the economic calendar.

The data help Wall Street and economists gauge how confident consumers are feeling about the economy, what their short- and long-term inflation expectations are, and how comfortable they feel spending money based on these outlooks. The report is released twice a month.

The final reading for October showed the index slipped to 53.6 from September's 55.1. "Overall, consumers perceive few material changes in economic circumstances from [September]; inflation and high prices remain at the forefront of consumers' minds," said Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu. She added that there "was little evidence" that "consumers connect the federal government shutdown to the economy."

The cutoff date for the final October survey was October 19, so it will be interesting to see if sentiment has changed with the shutdown now entering its second month.

BofA Securities economists expect the index to edge down to 53 "due to continued tariff uncertainty and the government shutdown."

Reporting schedules are provided Forex Factory and MarketWatch.

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Karee Venema
Senior Investing Editor, Kiplinger.com

With over a decade of experience writing about the stock market, Karee Venema is the senior investing editor at Kiplinger.com. She joined the publication in April 2021 after 10 years of working as an investing writer and columnist at a local investment research firm. In her previous role, Karee focused primarily on options trading, as well as technical, fundamental and sentiment analysis.