Seven Big Retirement Risks to Avoid
People are living longer and costs keep climbing, increasing the odds that you'll outlive your retirement savings. Here are some tips from a retirement pro to help you prevent that.


Preparing for retirement has changed dramatically throughout the last several decades. Not only are people living longer due to improved health care, but costs have dramatically increased all around.
The biggest difference between yesterday’s retiree vs. today’s is the diminished defined benefit — or pension — plan replaced by defined contribution plans with ERISA of 1974 establishing the IRA and the Revenue Act of 1978 creating the 401(k). Studies have shown that pensions are and have been rapidly replaced.
As retirees underestimate their longevity, as well as stock market volatility, the probability that they’ll outlast their savings will keep dropping. Proper adjustments need to be made now before irreparable damage is made.
From just $107.88 $24.99 for Kiplinger Personal Finance
Be a smarter, better informed investor.

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Here are the seven biggest risks retirees should avoid at all costs, along with tips to address them.
1. Longevity risk
Average life expectancy has increased from 68.14 years in 1950 to 76.4 years. With COVID-19, life expectancy actually decreased about 1.2 years, but retirees are living longer. The Society of Actuaries estimates that a couple both reaching age 65 have a 50% chance that one surviving spouse will live until age 93 (25% chance of one surviving spouse living until age 98).
The biggest threat retirees face is outliving their savings. Even though no one knows how long they will live, a 30-year retirement is not as uncommon compared to past generations.
Pro tip: One of the ways to balance longevity risk is by using a three-bucket strategy. The purpose is to allocate savings that address immediate, near-future and long-term needs. Liquid is anything within the next five years; income is what will be needed for 30 years or more; and growth is to offset inflation, taxes and future health care expenses.
Furthermore, delaying Social Security from full retirement age until age 70 will provide additional retirement credits at about 8% per year, which means a larger benefit later on. For example, if you were born in 1954, your full benefit amount would be at age 66. By delaying until age 70, there would be an additional credit of about 32% (8% per year for the next four years).
2. Inflation risk
Inflation is the decrease of purchasing power due to an increase in the price of goods. Since 1914, the average inflation rate has been 3.24%, and that number should remain constant even if the percentages have been high recently. While spending power is of relevance in retirement, it can be politicized and exaggerated, especially when supply-chain issues and price gouging are present.
Pro tip: Using Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) and Series I bonds are typically an ideal way to hedge against inflation. Series I bond interest rates are 5.27% through April 2024, but they can only be purchased up to $10,000 for each person (up to $20,000 for a couple).
Stay away from speculative or high-risk investments, including private equity, penny stocks and alternative investments if they don’t match your risk tolerance.
3. Tax rates risk
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 lowered the top tax rate to 37% starting in 2018 with the majority of the legislation set to expire in 2026, including a lower standard deduction and higher overall tax rates. Whether a retiree is still working or has other forms of taxable income — for example, a pension, bank or annuity interest, short-term capital gains, ordinary dividends, municipal bond income and retirement plan withdrawals — their Social Security benefits might become taxable.
In 2023, if combined income is between $25,000 and $34,000 for a single individual or between $32,000 and $44,000 for a married couple, up to 50% of their benefits will be included on their tax return. If combined income is more than $34,000 for a single individual or more than $44,000 for a married couple, up to 85% of their Social Security is taxed.
This doesn’t even include another tax in retirement — Medicare Part B premiums — which are as low as $164.90 a month and as high as $560.50 in 2023. For example, for an individual who had a modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of $150,000 in 2021, their Medicare Part B premiums would be $329.70 per month in 2023. Although that amount will readjust in 2024, it depends on what the individual’s MAGI was in 2022.
Pro tip: Converting taxable accounts — for example, traditional IRA or 401(k) — to a Roth in years in which income might be lower and leveraging different tax classes should keep you in a lower bracket. Nonqualified annuities (instead of CDs and other bank products) offer tax deferral, which can help with both Social Security taxation and Medicare Part B premiums.
4. Health care costs risk
Besides long-term care, health care costs including insurance, Medicare Part B premiums, drug costs, co-pays, co-insurance and deductibles can be costly. Fidelity estimates an average retired couple age 65 in 2023 may need about $315,000 saved (after tax) to cover expenses in retirement. If taxable accounts are used, that amount might be higher when factoring in potential taxes paid.
Unless the American health care system changes, costs are unavoidable, so it’s ideal to be prepared. Expenses may be lower in retirement for some than others, but the sentiment is that they’ll most likely increase overall.
Pro tip: Using a health savings account (HSA) offers tax-deductible contributions that grow tax-deferred, and withdrawals are possibly tax-free if used for health care expenses. In 2023, the maximum contribution limits are $3,850 for an individual and $7,750 for a family. If you’re over age 55, there’s an additional $1,000 catch-up contribution. In addition, qualified HSA funding distribution allows one-time “trustee-to-trustee” transfer up to yearly contribution (whether individual or family) from IRA or Roth IRA.
5. Long-term care costs risk
Long-term care costs by far are the most devastating to a retiree’s savings and investment portfolio. With home health care, assisted living and skilled nursing costs increasing on average 1.71% to 3.64% or more per year, what they cost today could easily double or triple by the time you need care.
According to a Genworth 2021 Cost of Care Survey, the most recent, home health care in 2021 was an average of $61,776, assisted living was an average of $54,000, and a private nursing home room was $108,405 per person. By 2051, home health care should be around $149,947, assisted living should be around $131,072, and a semiprivate nursing home room should be around $230,347.
Pro tip: Long-term care insurance has been the recommended solution by insurance agents and financial advisers for years. The problem is that premiums not being guaranteed allows other types of “hybrid” policies — for example, life insurance and annuities — with long-term care riders as a viable alternative solution. Keep in mind there are different styles of policies, so explore how each works.
6. Lifetime income risk
Up until the 1980s, pension plans made up a substantial part of a retiree’s income. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, that number has substantially dropped for private-sector workers, to under 20%. The Pension Rights Center states that only 31% of older Americans have a pension.
Pensions used to be the strongest leg of the “three-legged stool,” which also consisted of Social Security and savings, a concept introduced at a Social Security forum in 1949. But today’s retirees are often left figuring out for themselves how to make up the most crucial aspect of creating a guaranteed stream of income they won’t outlast.
Pro tip: Not having guaranteed income for many retirees is a top financial concern. Immediate annuities and indexed annuities with income riders focus on the distribution phase in retirement. Using the same investments during the accumulation phase and not properly reallocating will lower the probability of success that those assets won’t last a lifetime.
The SECURE Act of 2019 allows employer plans including 401(k)s and governmental plans such as 403(b)s access to lifetime income benefit options without having to transfer them to an IRA.
7. Stock market risk
As retirees get older, their tolerance for market risk should decrease. Sequence of returns risk is the danger of receiving lower or negative returns early when withdrawals are made in retirement, which can significantly decrease the overall longevity of those assets.
Old-fashioned rules such as the 4% withdrawal rule are being used by retirees since the idea was first published in the Journal of Financial Planning in 1994. It states that a safe withdrawal consisting of 60% stocks and 40% bonds is the ideal way of not running out of money. However, as a consequence of low interest rates, this rule has been questioned, with data suggesting it should be lowered from 4% to around 2.95% to 3.3%.
Also, there’s another old rule about the right portfolio balance by age known as the Rule of 120 (previously known as the Rule of 100). It suggests subtracting your age from 120 to get the right percentage of stocks and bonds in your portfolio. For example, if you're age 55, subtracting 55 from 120 means you should have 65% in stocks and 35% in bonds. The problem with that solution is usually timing and allowing human nature to interfere.
Pro tip: Don’t use outdated rules to dictate your optimal exposure in the stock market. Re-evaluate your risk tolerance and focus on saving as opposed to chasing higher investment returns.
related content
- Five Tax Moves Retirees Should Consider Before Dec. 31
- Four Things Gen Xers Can Do Now to Reach Retirement Goals
- Four Tips to Help You Conquer the Retirement Mountain
- Glass-Half-Empty Retirement Outlook? Here’s Some Advice
- Nervous About Retirement? Ask Yourself These Five Questions
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.

Carlos Dias Jr. is a financial adviser, public speaker and president of Dias Wealth, LLC, headquartered in the Orlando, Fla., area, but working with clients nationwide. His expertise spans a diverse clientele, including business owners, retirees, lottery winners and professional athletes with wealth management, tax planning, estate planning, long-term care, annuities and life insurance. Carlos has contributed to Kiplinger, Forbes and MarketWatch, and his work has been featured in CNN, CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, U.S. News & World Report, USA Today and other publications. He’s spoken at various CPA societies across the United States, and Carlos’ presentations often focus on innovative tax strategies, retirement planning and asset protection, providing valuable knowledge to accountants, attorneys and financial professionals.
-
Vacation Couture: Why Wealthy Americans Are Flying to Europe to Save on Luxury
Tariffs are making high-end shopping in the U.S. pricier — so savvy travelers are heading overseas, where VAT refunds and favorable exchange rates can offset the extra cost.
-
I was laid off in my 40s and took a lower-paying job. I'm can't contribute to my retirement savings until my income rises, and I only have $200,000. Help!
The pain of underemployment is real. We ask financial experts for advice.
-
I'm a Retirement Psychologist: Here's Why Doing What You 'Ought' in Retirement Beats Doing Whatever You Want
True retirement freedom isn't about simply doing whatever you want, but about finding purpose and direction through commitments that align with your deepest values and allow you to contribute meaningfully.
-
Tactical Roth Conversions: Why 2025-2028 Is a Critical Window for Retirees
The One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) extended today's low tax brackets, but they may not last. Here's how smart planning now can prevent costly tax surprises later.
-
Ready to Retire? It's Not Too Late to Convert to a Roth IRA
Millions of Americans are turning 65 this year. If you're retiring soon, don't dismiss the idea of a Roth conversion — it could still be a smart move even now.
-
I'm a Financial Adviser: Three Things You Will Wish You Did Before the Fed Cuts Interest Rates
With potential interest rate cuts on the horizon, you might want to lock in today's higher yields and consider adjusting your asset allocation.
-
Simple Ways to Save on Back-to-School Shopping This Year
Set a budget and stick to it, scour the house for what you already have, decorate backpacks and lunch boxes with your kids and consider buying some items during holiday sales.
-
The Seven-Day Financial Reset: A Simple Plan to Get Control of Your Money, From an Expert
Sometimes, getting unstuck requires a reset. These practical steps can help you tackle your money issues and feel less overwhelmed by it all.
-
Three Pros (and Four Cons) of Hiring Multiple Financial Advisers: The View From a Financial Adviser
There's nothing to stop you from working with several financial advisers instead of just one. But take a balanced view of the risks and rewards first.
-
I'm an Annuities Expert: Here Are Two Ways to Use Annuities to Benefit From the OBBB
To qualify for a new tax break included in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, some older adults need to lower their taxable income. Annuities can make that happen.