Stock Market Today: Stocks Spiral After Strong Data Sparks Fed Fears
Data on the services sector and factory activity came in stronger than expected, pointing to a resilient U.S. economy.
Stocks started the week deep in the red as the November jobs report continued to weigh on investor sentiment. This morning's data, which showed services sector activity and factory output were both stronger than economists expected, provided additional signs that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite the Federal Reserve's best attempts to slow things down.
Specifically, the Institute for Supply Management's non-manufacturing index – which measures activity in the services sector – rose to 56.5 in November from October's reading of 54.4. This was well above the consensus estimate for a decline to 53.7. A separate report from the Commerce Department showed factory orders were up 1% from September to October, more than the 0.7% increase economists were expecting.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
"Good economic news is bad news for stocks, as it will keep the risk elevated that rates might have to end up higher later next year," says Edward Moya, senior market strategist at currency data provider OANDA. "The risks that the Fed might need to do more remain elevated and that is why this economy needs to head to a recession. This next recession, however, won't be rescued by quick Fed easing or a fiscal response, as that will fuel inflation risks."
Today's selling was widespread, with all 11 sectors closing in the red. Energy (-3.0%) was the biggest decliner, with consumer discretionary (-2.9%) a close second on weakness in Tesla (TSLA). The electric vehicle maker plunged 6.4% after reports from Bloomberg and Reuters suggested it is planning on lowering December production at its Shanghai, China, plant by 20% from its November output. Tesla denied the media reports.
As for the major indexes, the Nasdaq Composite slumped 1.9% to 11,239, the S&P 500 Index fell 1.8% to 3,998, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 1.4% to 33,947.
Use High-Yield ETFs for Defense
Investors might want to brace for some choppy trading through the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision and the latest consumer price index (CPI) reading – both slated for next Wednesday. "After [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell's speech last week, I would have expected the market to perform well heading into the next Fed decision. Then job market data offset such traction," says Guido Petrelli, founder and CEO of market insight firm Merlin Investor. "The market now seems to take a conservative position while waiting for more clarifications from the Fed meeting."
Petrelli says it's likely the Fed will raise rates by 0.50%, as expected, but that "a crucial indication" will come in the Powell presser that will follow the policy announcement. "That's why I wouldn't expect any significant positive move from the market this week, with some reasonable drop coming from playing defense."
Investors playing defense over the long term have plenty of options at their disposal. In addition to healthcare and consumer staples stocks – which tend to do well in recessionary environments – investors can also seek out safety in dividend-paying names. While there's no shortage of dividend-paying stocks on Wall Street, you can also take a more diversified approach with high-yield ETFs. The nine names featured here cover both conservative and aggressive strategies but they all have one thing in common: healthy yields that are well above the broader market.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
With over a decade of experience writing about the stock market, Karee Venema is the senior investing editor at Kiplinger.com. She joined the publication in April 2021 after 10 years of working as an investing writer and columnist at Schaeffer's Investment Research. In her previous role, Karee focused primarily on options trading, as well as technical, fundamental and sentiment analysis.
-
Top New Year’s Travel Destinations: Glamorous Cities & Peaceful Retreats
Ring in the New Year your way — explore vibrant celebrations or find your peaceful retreat.
By Karon Warren Published
-
Jim Carrey Ran Out of Money in Retirement. Will You?
Cash-strapped retirees are returning to the workforce. How to prevent becoming one of them.
By Donna Fuscaldo Published
-
Stock Market Today: Dow Logs Longest Losing Streak Since April
The November Producer Price Index showed that inflation remains a tough beast to tame.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Stock Market Today: Tech Stocks Rally as CPI Supports Lower Rates
An inline inflation report sealed the deal for a December rate cut and sent the tech sector soaring.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
CPI Report Casts Doubt on Rate Cuts in 2025: What the Experts Are Saying About Inflation
CPI November Consumer Price Index data sealed the deal for a December rate cut, but the outlook for next year is less certain.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Rebound in Jobs Growth Keeps Fed on Track: What the Experts Are Saying
Jobs Report No nasty surprises in the November payrolls data leaves a quarter-point cut in play.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Jumps Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
It was a mostly positive start to a new week of pricing in more Donald Trump.
By David Dittman Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Slip After Powell Talks Rate Cuts
The main indexes closed lower Thursday after Fed Chair Powell said there's no rush to cut rates.
By Karee Venema Published
-
October CPI Report Hits the Mark: What the Experts Are Saying About Inflation
CPI While the current pace of rising prices appears to have leveled off, the expected path of rate cuts has become less certain.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Tops 6K as Election Rally Endures
The S&P 500 closed just below the 6,000 mark on Monday.
By David Dittman Published