Stock Market Today: Merger Monday Helps Give Markets a Lift
M&A news gives equities a boost ahead of some key economic events.
Stocks kicked off the start of a big next couple of days of economic news with a merger Monday.
Market participants entered the week on a cautious note, as the next two days could give them clues as to when the Federal Reserve might first start cutting interest rates in 2024. A data-dependent central bank will certainly take tomorrow's CPI Report – a reading on consumer inflation – at least partially into account as it formulates policy.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Nowcast predicts headline inflation in November to increase by 3.1%, down from the 3.2% rate seen in the October CPI report. On a monthly basis, November inflation is forecast to rise 0.05%, or up slightly from an unchanged reading the prior month.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
November's core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to increase 4.1% annually and 0.3% on a monthly basis. October's core CPI rose 4.0% year-over-year and 0.2% on a monthly basis.
Speaking of monetary policy, the next Fed meeting wraps up Wednesday. The Fed's rate-setting committee, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), is almost certainly going to keep the short-term federal funds rate unchanged at a 22-year high.
What market participants are really looking for are clues as to when the FOMC will pivot to rate cuts. Interest rate traders currently assign a 40% probability to a quarter-point rate cut in March 2024, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
On Sunday, Goldman Sachs said it expects the Fed to begin cutting rates in the third quarter of 2024.
Macy's pops on buyout bid
Equities also got a kick out of some good old fashioned mergers and acquisitions news.
Occidental Petroleum (OXY), which is one the largest holdings in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway stock portfolio, continued the theme of consolidation in the oil patch on Monday.
OXY bought closely held U.S. shale oil producer CrownRock in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $12 billion including debt. The move comes amid a spate of energy sector deals, including Exxon Mobil's (XOM) $60 billion bid for Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) and Hess's acquisition by Chevron (CVX), a Dow Jones stock, for $53 billion.
In more consumer-facing M&A news, shares in Macy's (M) closed up 19% after The Wall Street Journal reported a group of investors offered $5.8 billion to buy out the iconic department store operator. The group intends to take Macy's private.
As for the major indexes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4% to 36,404, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 4,622, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.2% to 14,432.
Related content
- Comcast To Hike Prices By 3% Next Year
- The Earnings Recession Is Over
- The Wash Sale Rule: Six Things You Need to Know
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
Dan Burrows is Kiplinger's senior investing writer, having joined the august publication full time in 2016.
A long-time financial journalist, Dan is a veteran of SmartMoney, MarketWatch, CBS MoneyWatch, InvestorPlace and DailyFinance. He has written for The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Consumer Reports, Senior Executive and Boston magazine, and his stories have appeared in the New York Daily News, the San Jose Mercury News and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications. As a senior writer at AOL's DailyFinance, Dan reported market news from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and hosted a weekly video segment on equities.
Once upon a time – before his days as a financial reporter and assistant financial editor at legendary fashion trade paper Women's Wear Daily – Dan worked for Spy magazine, scribbled away at Time Inc. and contributed to Maxim magazine back when lad mags were a thing. He's also written for Esquire magazine's Dubious Achievements Awards.
In his current role at Kiplinger, Dan writes about equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities, funds, macroeconomics, demographics, real estate, cost of living indexes and more.
Dan holds a bachelor's degree from Oberlin College and a master's degree from Columbia University.
Disclosure: Dan does not trade stocks or other securities. Rather, he dollar-cost averages into cheap funds and index funds and holds them forever in tax-advantaged accounts.
-
Come as You Are: Wealth Management for Gen X
Gen X is stuck in the middle of kids and aging parents, but retirement's not far off. Time to prioritize, with help from Nirvana, The Eagles and David Bowie.
By Alvina Lo Published
-
New Job? Time to Start a 401(k) Plan
Whether you're starting a new job or have never opened a 401(k) account, it's time! Here's how to open an account in five steps.
By Adam Shell Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Hit Record High Ahead of CPI Report
Equities caught a bid ahead of the all-important September reading on consumer price inflation.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Stock Market Today: Tech Leads Stocks to Broad-Based Gains
Risk appetite came back with a vengeance as oil and bonds took a breather.
By Dan Burrows Last updated
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Rise After Strong September Jobs Report
Stocks were choppy Thursday as investors took in a higher-than-expected rise in jobless claims and strong growth in the services sector.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Strong September Jobs Report Puts Soft Landing in Sight: What the Experts Are Saying
Jobs Report A blowout reading on nonfarm payrolls takes another jumbo-sized cut to interest rates off the table.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Drop Ahead of September Jobs Report
Stocks were choppy Thursday as investors took in a higher-than-expected rise in jobless claims and strong growth in the services sector.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Waver on Resilient Employment Data
A private reading on payrolls had markets rethinking rate-cut bets just days ahead of the monthly jobs report.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Drop, Oil Spikes After Iran Attacks Israel
A massive port strike and dismal economic data also weighed on the main indexes Tuesday.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Gain After Powell Talks Rate Cuts
A late-day burst of buying power helped the main indexes close higher for the day, month and quarter.
By Karee Venema Published