To help you understand what is going on in the economy, our highly experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest…
Your electric bills are no doubt up a lot. Unfortunately, we see no relief from that, as electricity demand rises to its highest pace in years, and state and federal officials push for a bigger role for renewable energy in the nation’s electric grid.
After roughly a decade of slow rate rises, electric prices have shot up since 2021. Households have seen a 24% increase from April 2021 to April 2024, a shock for many customers, and a contributor to inflation.
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Utilities are expecting a pickup in demand, especially due to new energy-hungry data centers. In 2022, they were forecasting electricity consumption to rise by 2.6% over the coming five years. But now, they are projecting 4.7% growth in the next five years.
Data centers whose chips run artificial intelligence are especially energy-intensive, and more are coming. Data centers, in general, account for 4.6% of demand. By 2026, that figure stands to rise to 6%. Meanwhile, more appliances and home systems are switching from natural gas to electricity, and more electric cars are plugging into the grid. Booming construction of chip plants and other high-tech manufacturing facilities is also lifting consumption. For instance, new Intel chip plants in Ohio are expected to tax the Midwest’s grid.
Rising demand is running into supply constraints
The switch to electricity generated from solar panels and wind turbines requires a lot more transmission lines and other infrastructure to connect than conventional, centrally located power plants. Sunshine and wind are free, but the panels, turbines, copper wires and transformers needed to harness them are expensive. Plus, their intermittent generation patterns require some form of backup power. (Round-the-clock power sources like geothermal and nuclear are increasingly prized by data center owners that want stable supplies.)
What this all adds up to is higher rates on your future electricity bills, unfortunately. How much higher depends on a lot of factors, such as your region, the price of natural gas (the leading fuel source for generation) and how quickly government officials try to ramp up renewable power. But to be safe, we recommend that you plan on your recent rate increases continuing for the next few years.
What you can do to save on energy bills
Consider efficiency upgrades where feasible. What exactly that means depends on your home or business’s energy needs, which you know best. But we advise taking a fresh look at any efficiency or conservation ideas. Investments that weren’t cost-effective when power rates were lower may make financial sense now. Homeowners, consider an energy audit to help find the best savings, such as tips on insulation. Note that such audits can qualify for a $150 home improvement tax credit. Also, it may pay to switch from an electric appliance or system to gas, if you have access to cheap natural gas and the cost of installing gas lines is bearable.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter, which has been running since 1923 and is a collection of concise weekly forecasts on business and economic trends, as well as what to expect from Washington, to help you understand what’s coming up to make the most of your investments and your money. Subscribe to The Kiplinger Letter.
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