Rising Sales Spur Small-Business Growth
Smalls see opportunities to expand as lending loosens up.

Small businesses are turning the corner, after lagging behind big businesses in terms of sales and expansion opportunities following the recent recession. Small-business owners have more optimism in current economic conditions and in the direction of their own companies. For example, about 60% of small businesses responding to a recent survey by PNC Financial Services Group expect sales to rise in the next six months.
Eight out of 10 small-business owners are hopeful of growing their businesses in coming months amid rising demand for goods and services, according to the survey. "With the start of the baseball season, the economic recovery is on base…heading home. But rising energy prices, elevated unemployment and a recession in Europe could still prevent it from scoring the winning run," says Stuart Hoffman, chief economist at PNC. "These findings show a significant improvement in business expectations and optimism."
But smalls will grow cautiously, holding down costs and taking fewer risks. Moreover, they won't be the engine of job growth they were before the recession. Small businesses will add about five jobs per firm per year, says Andrew Razeghi, adjunct associate professor at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. That's less than the seven jobs per firm per year that smalls were creating in 2009, he notes in remarks to the House Committee on Small Business. That means that small businesses will create about 7.5 million fewer jobs between 2009 and 2019 than in the previous decade.

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
A stronger sales outlook means more loan demand from small-business owners eyeing growth opportunities. About one-fourth of small-business owners plan to take out a loan or a line of credit before September. Loans backed by the Small Business Administration will hit another record in 2012, rivaling the 35% jump in loan amounts in 2011, when they reached $30.5 billion, the highest level in the 58-year history of the SBA.
Many banks are eager to respond. They're reaching out to smalls and adding staff to boost lending. Bank of America, for example, hired more than 100 small-business bankers in the first quarter to support small-business customers. But that doesn't mean that funds will come easily to anyone who walks in the door. Small firms with solid track records and better than average credit are most likely to get the funding they need.
So what does it take to get a small-business loan from a bank in today's economy?
-- An unimpeachable business plan. Small companies need to be explicit with details about how borrowed money will be spent and how it will contribute to business growth.
-- Bigger down payments. If you're seeking a construction loan, for example, expect loan officers to ask for more cash for the project…as much as 50% more than they might have required in 2006. Looking to acquire an existing business? Expect banks to require 20% more up front, or about a quarter of the purchase price.
-- Clean credit. It's not just a plus, it's required. Small businesses, in general, are doing better at maintaining good credit. In February, only 1.46% of small-business loans were delinquent, versus 4.42% of small businesses that paid late at the height of the recession in May 2009.
-- Lower debt levels. Lenders want smalls to shed excessive debt. Expect bankers to be looking for a debt level that's less than four times earnings. As recently as 2006, six times income was OK.
Nonbank lending sources are also providing the capital needed to expand small businesses. Among them: crowdfunding. Supported by the recently enacted Jumpstart Our Business Startups (JOBS) Act, it allows entrepreneurs to raise capital from a large pool of small investors and eases some SEC requirements. Small businesses can seek investors online via CircleUp.com, Kickstarter.com and other websites. Other funding options include peer-to-peer lending, small-business or personal credit cards, and personal savings.
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.

-
Stock Market Today: Have We Seen the Bottom for Stocks?
Solid first-quarter earnings suggest fundamentals remain solid, and recent price action is encouraging too.
By David Dittman
-
Is the GOP Secretly Planning to Raise Taxes on the Rich?
Tax Reform As high-stakes tax reform talks resume on Capitol Hill, questions are swirling about what Republicans and President Trump will do.
By Kelley R. Taylor
-
The Economic Impact of the US-China Trade War
The Letter The US-China trade war will impact US consumers and business. The decoupling process could be messy.
By David Payne
-
AI Heads to Washington
The Kiplinger Letter There’s big opportunity for AI tools that analyze MRIs and other medical images. But also big challenges that clinicians and companies will have to overcome.
By John Miley
-
The AI Doctor Coming to Read Your Test Results
The Kiplinger Letter There’s big opportunity for AI tools that analyze CAT scans, MRIs and other medical images. But there are also big challenges that human clinicians and tech companies will have to overcome.
By John Miley
-
The New Space Age Takes Off
The Kiplinger Letter From fast broadband to SOS texting, space has never been more embedded in peoples’ lives. The future is even more exciting for rockets, satellites and emerging space tech.
By John Miley
-
Rising AI Demand Stokes Undersea Investments
The Kiplinger Letter As demand soars for AI, there’s a need to transport huge amounts of data across oceans. Tech giants have big plans for new submarine cables, including the longest ever.
By John Miley
-
What DOGE is Doing Now
The Kiplinger Letter As Musk's DOGE pursues its ambitious agenda, uncertainty and legal challenges are mounting — causing frustration for Trump.
By Matthew Housiaux
-
A Move Away From Free Trade
The Letter President Trump says long-term gain will be worth short-term pain, but the pain could be significant this year.
By David Payne
-
The Explosion of New AI Tools
The Kiplinger Letter Workers and consumers soon won’t be able to escape generative AI. Does that mean societal disruption and productivity gains are right around the corner?
By John Miley