Construction Sector Sees Backlogs and Year-Over-Year Declines: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
Commercial and industrial projects are affected by red tape delays and a skilled labor shortage.
To help you understand what is going on as the economy rebounds and what we expect to happen in the future, our highly-experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest...
Construction forecast. One way to measure the impact of the recent federal infrastructure bill: construction backlogs. In June, they held steady at 8.9 months, the same as in May. This refers to projects contractors have booked but haven’t yet started. In June, the backlog of infrastructure projects increased for the third straight month. It’s at its highest level in two years, due partly to a big rise in clean-energy projects.
Meanwhile, the other major construction categories, commercial and heavy industrial, are seeing both monthly and year-over-year declines as the economy gradually slows. Reasons for the logjam: government red tape, such as required permits and federal approvals, and an industrywide shortage of skilled construction labor.
From just $107.88 $24.99 for Kiplinger Personal Finance
Be a smarter, better informed investor.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Regulatory changes. Regulators are clarifying personal protective equipment requirements for the construction industry, after years of lobbying by labor groups and by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration's (OSHA) internal advisory committees. Changes will focus primarily on ensuring that PPE fits workers properly.
OSHA currently requires construction employers to provide workers with PPE that is high-quality. But the agency does not require the PPE to fit properly, which can make it ineffective or make loose-fitting vests snag, among other risks. The rule change will affect around 10% of the construction workforce. There are costs to transition, but PPE cost differences based on size are minimal.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter, which has been running since 1923 and is a collection of concise weekly forecasts on business and economic trends, as well as what to expect from Washington, to help you understand what’s coming up to make the most of your investments and your money. Subscribe to The Kiplinger Letter.
Related Content
- 13 Best Infrastructure Stocks for America's Big Building Spend
- 3 Infrastructure ETFs to Harness the Spending Boom
- Kiplinger Inflation Outlook: Easing, but Core Inflation Stubbornly High
- Biden Administration Considering Raft of Changes to Labor Rules: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
- Shortage of electrical engineers to power labor market growth: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.

-
More Than 1 Million Toyota, Lexus and Subaru Vehicles Recalled for Camera Issue. Is Your Vehicle Affected?A software glitch in the Panoramic View Monitor system causes blank or frozen rear-camera images, triggering a massive recall of 2022-26 models.
-
My Four Pieces of Advice for Women Anxious About Handling MoneyTalking about money can help you take control of your finances.
-
Worried About an AI Bubble? Here’s What You Need to KnowThe Kiplinger Letter With the introduction of OpenAI’s new AI social media app, Sora, the internet is about to be flooded with startling AI-generated videos.
-
Will AI Videos Disrupt Social Media?The Kiplinger Letter With the introduction of OpenAI’s new AI social media app, Sora, the internet is about to be flooded with startling AI-generated videos.
-
What Services Are Open During the Government Shutdown?The Kiplinger Letter As the shutdown drags on, many basic federal services will increasingly be affected.
-
The Economy on a Knife's EdgeThe Letter GDP is growing, but employers have all but stopped hiring as they watch how the trade war plays out.
-
Banks Are Sounding the Alarm About StablecoinsThe Kiplinger Letter The banking industry says stablecoins could have a negative impact on lending.
-
Apple Readies for AI Upgrade with New iPhonesThe Kiplinger Letter The tech giant has stumbled when it comes to artificial intelligence, but a new batch of iPhones will help it make headway.
-
Japan Enters a New Era of Risk and ReformThe Kiplinger Letter Japan has entered a pivotal moment in its economic history, undertaking ambitious policy and structural reforms to escape from decades of stagnation.
-
How Consumers Are Tinkering with Cutting-Edge AIThe Kiplinger Letter Companies launching artificial intelligence tools are jostling for consumer attention. Some products are already building a deep connection with users.