Our Greatest Tech Forecasts of the Last 90 Years
The Kiplinger Letter — long famous for its economic, business and political forecasting — also alerts its readers to emerging technologies.
Long before the technology marvels of the 20th century — airplanes, television, air conditioning, computers, satellites, the World Wide Web, cell phones and more — became commonplace, they were the stuff of futurist fantasy...and embryonic industries poised to boom.
The Kiplinger Letter — long famous for its economic, business and political forecasting — also alerts its readers to emerging technologies. In celebration of its 90th birthday this week, the Letter brings you this sampling of brief forecasts from its pages...foreseeing inventions that fundamentally changed how we live and work.
Check out these compelling forecasts on the following pages.
The Rise of Cellular Communications
Microchips: The leading edge of technology for years to come.
Fantastic reductions in size and cost lead to new applications in existing products and point to new products. "Computer on a chip," tiny circuit board performing functions only big black boxes used to do…
“Smart phones”…to store often-used numbers, take messages.
December 28, 1979
Interstate mobile phone conversations will become commonplace via cellular radio…a new network of transmitting and receiving “cells.” They will automatically switch calls to unused frequencies as you drive.
May 20, 1983
The ultimate tools for road warriors are just a few years away. All-in-one wireless communicators will combine the functions of a landline phone, cell phone, personal digital assistant and PC. The gadgets…notebook PCs or smart phones...will operate seamlessly over expanded wireless networks in the same way cell phones do now.
April 1, 2005
Computers Simplify Daily Tasks
Electronic Brain: Gov’t scientists now predict simplified models for practical business uses…inventorying, accounting, mailing lists, sales, market research, other records.
May 24, 1952
Nationwide computer hookups will bring some enormous changes:
Moneyless banking…deposits, charge purchases, payments, all kinds of deals via your account...
Central accounting & inventory systems…
July 29, 1966
Computers will be cheaper, smaller, simpler…used EVERYWHERE.
July 7, 1978
Computer Networking Connects the Globe
On computers…the latest thing is to hook them up into networks, use telephone or special lines to link them together around the country. It’s a way of cutting costs…sharing of computers via “teleprocessing.”
November 12, 1971
Networking among computers will make it easy for any computer owner to communicate with another if he has the wire address and the right connections. This is already happening on a relatively limited scale via computer “bulletin boards.”
New American Boom 1986
Computers that listen & talk will be commonplace in next decade in offices and on shop floors.
September 1, 2000
A Food Revolution
Use of radio waves for heating & cooking is a growing business, but these waves interfere with others and even cause some radio static.
April 12, 1947
And here are some more things that are coming along by the time you reach middle age…to change your thinking and your living. New houses, new gadgets in them. Automatics. Push buttons. Microwave ovens. Plastic plumbing. TV on wall screens. Fuel-cell heat. Irradiated foods to supplement canned & frozen. New foods from the sea. Synthetic foods, chemically made, with all needed nutrients & vitamins.
December 27, 1963
The Coming of Air Conditioning, Prefab Homes, Polyester, and the Fax
Inventions which may make deep changes in things in the future: Mechanical cotton picker, Synthetic rubber, plastics, air conditioning equipment, prefabricated houses, television, artificial cotton – cellulose, facsimile transmission, auto trailer, artificial wool – cellulose, gasoline from coal, photo electric cell, steep-flight airplanes, tray agriculture.
September 4, 1937
E-mail Takes Over
Electronic mail…using computers, printers at an office and home. Hooking up with other computers via satellites and TV to replay messages.
July 7, 1978
Wireless e-mail may soon be as ubiquitous as cell phones. Its use is poised to take off over the next several years as software giants and cellular carriers challenge Blackberry's reign.
June 24, 2005
Electric Cars Hit the Road
Electric cars will grab up to 15% of the market in 20 years…more if the driving range expands to 300 miles or so before recharging. Stringent clean air requirements in Calif. will spur sales of electrics.
January 17, 1992
The Rise of Videotapes, CDs, and Cable TV
Soon to hit the market…TV tapes…and makers have high hopes. Will be sold along with a player that is attached to your home TV set. Thus, “personal” home entertainment, akin to your own stereo or recorder.
August 14, 1970
Boomy sales of compact discs and players, thanks to lower prices. Players are selling for $300-$400…compared with $1000 or so a year ago.
April 19, 1985
Cable TV with up to 500 channels in ’95. 50 games every Saturday plus 100 movies. But you’ll pay $3 to $5 each and a $20-$50 monthly fee.
January 8, 1993
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