Stock Market Today

Stock Market Today: COVID, China Rattle the Rally

Fallout from a Chinese crackdown on private businesses, as well as reports the CDC would recommend mask usage indoors, pulled stocks from their recent highs Tuesday.

A second day of global fears over China's regulatory crackdown, as well as rising COVID concerns back home, were enough to knock U.S. stocks off their lofty perch Tuesday.

Rattling domestic stocks today were reports that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention were prepared to suggest that Americans in COVID hot spots wear masks indoors to combat the spread of the highly transmissible delta variant.

Also, Chinese markets resumed their recent selloff this morning as Beijing continued to tighten its grip on technology and education firms. Selling in stocks such as Alibaba (BABA, -3.0%) and Tencent (TCEHY, -2.3%) bled into the U.S. tech and communications sectors, where names such as Apple (AAPL, -1.5%), Alphabet (GOOGL, -1.6%) and Facebook (FB, -1.3%) declined.

This pressure on the "FAANGs" was felt most by the Nasdaq Composite, which declined 1.2% off yesterday's all-time high to 14,660. The tech-heavy index snapped a five-session win streak, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.2% to 35,058) and S&P 500 (-0.5% to 4,401).

And a reminder: Tomorrow afternoon, markets will have to contend with the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting.

"We're not expecting fireworks at this Fed meeting," says LPL Financial Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum. "But we are expecting the committee to go further down the road in discussing the when and how to start removing the emergency level monetary accommodation it has been providing markets."

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"The biggest unknown that could complicate matters for the Fed is a drop in spending from consumers who spent less early on during the economic reopening because they didn't feel safe even with a relaxation of mask mandates for vaccinated individuals," adds Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of Quill Intelligence. "If this cohort is discouraged by the increasing numbers of Covid-19 cases among those who have been doubly-vaccinated, spending could be in for a slowdown."

Other news in the stock market today:

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 declined 1.1% to 2,191.
  • Tesla (TSLA) fell 2.0% after the electric vehicle (EV) maker unveiled its second-quarter earnings results. Tesla reported an adjusted profit of $1.45 per share – a roughly 230% improvement from its year-ago results – while revenue arrived at $11.96 billion (+98% year-over-year). Both figures exceeded analysts' estimates. However, in a subsequent call, Tesla CEO Elon Musk warned that the global semiconductor shortage "remains quite serious," adding that chips are "fundamentally the governing factor on our output." Musk also said he would only participate in future earnings calls if "there's something important" to say. Despite the earnings reaction, Argus analyst Bill Selesky reiterated his Buy rating on the stock, calling TSLA "the undisputed leader" in the EV space.
  • United Parcel Service (UPS) was another name that took a post-earnings dive today, ending the session down 7.0%. While the delivery giant reported stronger-than-expected adjusted Q2 earnings of $3.06 per share on $23.42 billion in revenue (up 44% and 14% YoY, respectively), domestic package volume was down around 3%. CFRA analyst Colin Scarola kept his Strong Buy rating on UPS, however, saying the shares are "highly undervalued."
  • U.S. crude oil futures shed 0.4% to close at $71.65 per barrel.
  • Gold futures eked out a marginal gain to settle at $1,799.80 an ounce.
  • The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped 10.1% to 19.36.
  • Bitcoin prices cooled off after the weekend's hot run, declining 4.8% to $37,916.27. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m. each trading day.)
stock chart for 072721

YCharts

Safety First! (And Second, And Third ...)

Let's look at the market's pain points, and where investors felt relief.

While we did see a selloff in tech, which in 2020 was effectively COVID-proof, the threat of renewed mask guidance clearly spooked cyclical recovery picks as well, with energy (-1.0%) and consumer discretionary (-1.0%) among the hardest-hit sectors.

Tuesday instead belonged to stereotypical safety plays – typically yield-bearing hidey-holes where investors can wait out a COVID resurgence while leaning on income to pad returns.

Healthcare stocks, for instance, provide both some level of protection from stricter coronavirus measures while also being able to capitalize on renewed demand for vaccinations and treatments.

Performing even better were real estate investment trusts (REITs) and utility stocks, thanks to a decline in Treasury yields – after all, lower rates on bonds help make their already above-average yields look all that much more attractive.

Investors should note that even utilities – the first name in safety plays – aren't immune to COVID pressures, and did sell off with the rest of the market in 2020. Nonetheless, their typically stable businesses make them a favorite of investors looking to get through short-term bouts of volatility. Read on as we look at nine of the utility sector's best opportunities through the rest of this year.

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