Huawei Technologies Co. and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp., already blacklisted by the U.S., launched a new phone using highly advanced technology that has sparked concern in Washington. To help you understand what is going on in the trade/China landscape and what we expect may happen in the future, our highly experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest…
China’s big chip breakthrough is less than meets the eye. Recent news, that telecom giant Huawei collaborated with China’s largest chipmaker, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) on an advanced processor to power its latest smartphone, set off alarm bells in Washington.
But the chip they produced is still five years behind the cutting edge — an eternity in semiconductor time. And without access to more advanced equipment, which is limited by export controls, Beijing will struggle to produce additional breakthroughs, despite heavily subsidizing various semiconductor manufacturing initiatives.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Nevertheless, don’t be surprised if Uncle Sam further tightens restrictions on China’s access to semiconductor manufacturing equipment. By some accounts, U.S. enforcement of export controls has been less stringent than expected, a consequence of industry lobbying.
But critics also say these regulations were poorly designed, allowing China to access less-advanced equipment still capable of making more advanced chips, though not well enough to be commercially viable.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter, which has been running since 1923 and is a collection of concise weekly forecasts on business and economic trends, as well as what to expect from Washington, to help you understand what’s coming up to make the most of your investments and your money. Subscribe to The Kiplinger Letter.
Related Content
-
President Trump Makes Markets Move Again: Stock Market TodayThe White House is moving ahead with plans to reshape the Federal Reserve and to buy shares in more sectors and stocks.
-
Are Tariffs and the ‘Pumpkin Spice Tax’ Coming for Your Fall Coffee Budget?Food Taxes Inflation pressures, tariffs, and talk of the so-called 'pumpkin spice tax' have some wondering about rising coffee prices.
-
More Shutdown Struggles Ahead for Divided CongressThe Kiplinger Letter Failure to pass a government funding bill by September 30 would trigger a shutdown of many federal services.
-
Kiplinger Special Report: Business Costs for 2026Economic Forecasts Fresh forecasts for 2026, to help you plan ahead and prepare a budget on a range of business costs, from Kiplinger's Letters team.
-
Trump-Era Regulations Will Broaden Access to CryptoThe Kiplinger Letter The president wants to make the U.S. the leader in digital assets.
-
How to Adopt AI and Keep Employees HappyThe Kiplinger Letter As business adoption of AI picks up, employee morale could take a hit. But there are ways to avoid an AI backlash.
-
The Rise of AI: A Kiplinger Special ReportThe Kiplinger Letter Our special report looks at the opportunities and challenges of generative AI and how its rapid move into the mainstream is impacting every aspect of our lives.
-
Big Changes Are Ahead for Higher EdThe Kiplinger Letter A major reform of higher ed is underway. Colleges are bracing for abrupt change, financial headwinds and uncertainty.
-
AI-Powered Smart Glasses Set to Make a Bigger SplashThe Kiplinger Letter Meta leads the way with its sleek, fashionable smart glasses, but Apple reportedly plans to join the fray by late 2026. Improved AI will lure more customers.
-
Breaking China's Stranglehold on Rare Earth ElementsThe Letter China is using its near-monopoly on critical minerals to win trade concessions. Can the U.S. find alternate supplies?
