China is a world superpower, so the fortunes of the Chinese economy have a big impact across the world, and of course in the U.S. too.
Our hugely experienced Kiplinger Letter team will update you on all the important developments in China and what impact that has at home and for investors (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). Here’s the latest forecast, starting with background on semiconductor exports…
The U.S. is preparing to unveil new semiconductor export controls that would double the number of machines requiring export licenses.
From just $107.88 $24.99 for Kiplinger Personal Finance
Become a smarter, better informed investor. Subscribe from just $107.88 $24.99, plus get up to 4 Special Issues
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
U.S. producers of chipmaking gear, such as Applied Materials (AMAT), are bracing for impact. Notably, Washington will be working with the Netherlands and Japan, whose governments have agreed to bar sales of the same chipmaking equipment as the U.S.
While American firms account for 40% of the global market for semiconductor manufacturing equipment, both the Netherlands and Japan are significant players. The Dutch firm ASML (ASML), for example, is the only supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines, used to make the most advanced chips.
But U.S. officials have struggled to get other countries to strike deals, most notably South Korea, a leader in semiconductor manufacturing with a small but sophisticated industry for chipmaking gear, and Germany, the leading supplier of the components used in the production of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
Why China stands to benefit
One consequence of semiconductor-related U.S. export controls is on China, as Beijing will likely dominate the global industry for less advanced chip tech, according to U.S. intelligence officials.
Moves to cut China off from advanced chips and chipmaking gear have fueled its efforts at the lower end of the tech spectrum. China currently leads the world in building new chipmaking facilities and is expected to account for 18% of global fabrication facilities by 2025, an increase of 7% from 2019, with most facilities dedicated to mature technologies.
Read more
-
Ask the Tax Editor: Residential Rental Property QuestionsAsk the Editor In this week's Ask the Editor Q&A, Joy Taylor answers questions on reporting income and loss from residential rental property.
-
11 Stock Picks Beyond the Magnificent 7With my Mag-7-Plus strategy, you can own the mega caps individually or in ETFs and add in some smaller tech stocks to benefit from AI and other innovations.
-
The Financial Details Every Couple Should Share (Before There’s an Emergency)From passwords to policy numbers, having shared access to key accounts can prevent financial chaos when life throws a curveball.
-
Trump Reshapes Foreign PolicyThe Kiplinger Letter The President starts the new year by putting allies and adversaries on notice.
-
Congress Set for Busy WinterThe Kiplinger Letter The Letter editors review the bills Congress will decide on this year. The government funding bill is paramount, but other issues vie for lawmakers’ attention.
-
The Kiplinger Letter's 10 Forecasts for 2026The Kiplinger Letter Here are some of the biggest events and trends in economics, politics and tech that will shape the new year.
-
Special Report: The Future of American PoliticsThe Kiplinger Letter The Political Trends and Challenges that Will Define the Next Decade
-
What to Expect from the Global Economy in 2026The Kiplinger Letter Economic growth across the globe will be highly uneven, with some major economies accelerating while others hit the brakes.
-
Shoppers Hit the Brakes on EV Purchases After Tax Credits ExpireThe Letter Electric cars are here to stay, but they'll have to compete harder to get shoppers interested without the federal tax credit.
-
The Economy on a Knife's EdgeThe Letter GDP is growing, but employers have all but stopped hiring as they watch how the trade war plays out.
-
Banks Are Sounding the Alarm About StablecoinsThe Kiplinger Letter The banking industry says stablecoins could have a negative impact on lending.
