Business Spending Powering On
Kiplinger’s latest forecast on business equipment spending
Capital spending is still on a roll, rising 1.5% in August, fully regaining its prerecession level and then some. Computer and communications equipment spending is still hot, evidence that many companies continue to equip their workforces for remote work. Machinery spending and orders are strong. Even though many uncertainties about the economy’s progress remain, businesses are apparently deciding to push ahead with expansion plans that had been on hold, in order to be prepared for the eventual recovery. New orders are also tracking the strength in spending.
A decline in motor vehicle and parts spending and orders was likely just a pullback after July’s surge. The same was true for defense spending.
Now that the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil has picked up to around $40 per barrel, a modest boost for purchases of oilfield equipment seems likely. The number of active drilling rigs has ticked up in Texas and Louisiana lately. However, spending on rigs and related gear could falter again if oil prices retreat later in the year.
- 1Kiplinger’s Economic OutlooksRegularly updated insights on the economy’s next moves.
- 2GDP: -4.9% growth in 2020, 3.8% in 2021Kiplinger’s latest forecast for the GDP growth rate
- 3JOBS: States are reopening, but workers will come back slowlyKiplinger’s latest forecast on jobs
- 4INTEREST RATES: 10-year T-notes staying below 1.0% for a whileKiplinger’s latest forecast on interest rates
- 5INFLATION: 1.2% through '20, from 2.3% at end '19Kiplinger’s latest forecast on inflation
- 6BUSINESS SPENDING: Down 10% to 20% in '20 - currently readingKiplinger’s latest forecast on business equipment spending
- 7ENERGY: Crude oil trading from $35 to $40 per barrel this fallKiplinger's latest forecast on the direction of energy prices
- 8HOUSING: Single-family starts down 6.6% in '20Kiplinger's latest forecast on housing starts and home sales
- 9RETAIL SALES: Ending the year 6% higher than at the startKiplinger’s latest forecast on retail sales and consumer spending.
- 10TRADE DEFICIT: Widening 3% in ’20Kiplinger's latest forecast on the direction of the trade deficit.