A Spotlight on the Mountain States: The Kiplinger Letter
Most Mountain states are seeing good job growth in multiple sectors from healthcare, energy, and semiconductor production to farming and government.
To help you understand what is going on in the economy our highly experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest…
Idaho will lead the way economically among the Mountain states this year, with job growth of 2%. People are still flocking to the Gem State, though the rate has fallen considerably since the pandemic. Housing prices in Idaho have risen faster than in any other state over the past five years as the population rose. Construction, healthcare and state government are all hiring briskly to keep up. Drought figures to crimp farm profits, but farm income should still come in strong, and a possible shift to a La Niña weather pattern this year could lead to more rainfall.
The University of Idaho agreed to purchase the for-profit University of Phoenix. They want to convert the mostly online school into a non-profit. However, the Idaho legislature is opposed, and the deal may fall through.
Wyoming will be close behind Idaho, as its employment grows by 1.9%. Energy is a major driver of the state economy, from oil, gas and coal to solar power and wind farms, and even a proposed nuclear plant near Kemmerer — a real rarity in a nation that has built almost no reactors in recent decades. AES Corporation will build a 150 MW, 40-turbine wind farm near Glenrock, to open in late 2026. A 500 MW solar farm nearby is going through hearings currently, and could also open in 2026. A solar project is under construction near Cheyenne, and another is planned near Yoder. PacifiCorp’s control center for the over 1,000 wind turbines it runs in the West is in Casper.
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
An underground carbon storage site is planned near Gillette, which may have a better shot at going forward because the pipeline to bring in the CO2 would be relatively short. Major deposits of rare earth elements needed for high-tech gear are also promising. The state has the potential to become a world leader in rare earths mining, with major deposits near Wheatland, Upton, and Sheridan. American Rare Earths says that its Wheatland deposits are much larger than previously known, at 2.3 billion tons.
Arizona is also growing swiftly, on tap for 1.5% employment growth. The state’s labor force has been rising steadily, helped by the continued in-migration that has boosted the construction and health care sectors, especially. The state has become a major hub for semiconductor production. TSMC has an enormous plant under construction north of Phoenix that is scheduled to open by 2025 and has plans for a second one to open by 2028. Intel is also investing heavily in Arizona, which could host the future federal center for semiconductor research.
Home building in the Phoenix metro area is expected to be a bit better this year. Traditionally, housing development in this area took place on the southeast side, called the East Valley. But the west and northwest sides along Route 303 are now getting attention, with a big data center project slated for Buckeye. The main constraint appears to be water, though the rise in the level of Lake Mead helping for now. Blackstar Orbital is going to build its hybrid spaceplane/satellite at the Siera Vista airport near the border in 2026. … The 2024 National Pickleball Championships will take place in November in Mesa this year.
Utah will rival Arizona, with job growth of 1.5%. The jobless rate is just 2.8% in Utah, though that’s up a bit from last year. In-migration is slowing, taking pressure off home prices, which should tick up only 1-3% this year. Salt Lake City and Provo have seen hiring slow the most, whereas Ogden is still strong. Lithium extraction from the Great Salt Lake using a more environmentally friendly method could go ahead in a few years. The company behind it, Lilac Solutions, hopes to be operating by 2026. Western actor Kevin Costner is building an elaborate film studio in St. George called Territory Film Studios. It will have sound stages, warehouses, offices, and a restaurant. Northrop Grumman is planning an expansion in its rocket division, spending $1 billion and hiring 1,200.
Montana's job growth is a bit slower at 1.3%. As in Idaho, the population is growing rapidly, thanks to in-migration, though that trend has been slowing. Drought is a serious problem for farmers, as dry conditions spread east this year. Cattle ranchers are benefiting from high beef prices, but drought has thinned herds. It will take a few years to get herd sizes back to normal. The local firearms industry is growing, with new plants on tap in Glendive and Helena. German-based VACOM, a vacuum components manufacturer, will establish its U.S. headquarters in Lewiston, bringing 500 jobs.
Colorado is last on the list, with solid job growth of 1.1%. The labor market is tight, with the most unfilled jobs of any state in the region. Hiring is going strong in healthcare and local government, but other sectors are soft. Denver is struggling with an influx of illegal migrants, and the state legislature is debating a measure to curb new oil and gas development, which contributes 4% to the state’s GDP. Longmont is making a bid to become a semiconductor hub with state financing. Goose Gear, a maker of off-road vehicle accessories, is moving its HQ to Grand Junction. The strongest population percent growth is occurring in the central interior west of Denver and in the southwest corner of the state.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter, which has been running since 1923 and is a collection of concise weekly forecasts on business and economic trends, as well as what to expect from Washington, to help you understand what’s coming up to make the most of your investments and your money. Subscribe to The Kiplinger Letter.
Related Content
- A Spotlight on the Mid-Atlantic States: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on the Mid-South States: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on the Midwest: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on New England: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on the Southeastern States: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on the South Central States: The Kiplinger Letter
- A Spotlight on the Plains States: The Kiplinger Letter
To continue reading this article
please register for free
This is different from signing in to your print subscription
Why am I seeing this? Find out more here
David is both staff economist and reporter for The Kiplinger Letter, overseeing Kiplinger forecasts for the U.S. and world economies. Previously, he was senior principal economist in the Center for Forecasting and Modeling at IHS/GlobalInsight, and an economist in the Chief Economist's Office of the U.S. Department of Commerce. David has co-written weekly reports on economic conditions since 1992, and has forecasted GDP and its components since 1995, beating the Blue Chip Indicators forecasts two-thirds of the time. David is a Certified Business Economist as recognized by the National Association for Business Economics. He has two master's degrees and is ABD in economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
-
DraftKings Is a Top Analyst Pick Ahead of NFL Draft. Here's Why
DraftKings has posted a strong performance in 2024 but analysts think there is more upside for the stock. Here’s what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Worst States for Investors With Long-Term Capital Gains
Capital Gains Tax The worst states for investors have high long-term capital gains tax rates that could eat a chunk of your earnings.
By Katelyn Washington Last updated
-
A Spotlight on the Pacific States: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Most Pacific states are seeing good job growth in multiple sectors including tourism, hospitality, and construction.
By David Payne Published
-
The Robots Are Coming... But Not For a While
The Kiplinger Letter There’s excitement in the tech sector over the potential of humanoid robots, but widespread adoption is likely to be years away.
By John Miley Published
-
Farmers Face Another Tough Year As Costs Continue to Climb: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Farm income is expected to decline for a second year, while costs continue to up-end farm profitability.
By Matthew Housiaux Published
-
A Spotlight on the Plains States: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter The labor market is tight in the Plains states and outside of healthcare and construction most sectors are flat or down.
By David Payne Published
-
Kiplinger's Commodities Forecast
The Kiplinger Letter Following a rocky few years for markets, we expect commodities to be less volatile in 2024, as a post-pandemic normal finally emerges.
By Matthew Housiaux Published
-
Growth Stalls in China As Property Market Continues to Struggle: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter The property market remains a major drag on Chinese growth, with sales now 50% below their peak.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
A Spotlight on the South Central States: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Outside of the tech sector slump, job growth in the South Central states remains buoyant, with healthcare, construction and business investment going strong.
By David Payne Published
-
A Spotlight on the Midwest: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Despite slow or no job growth, the overall outlook for the Midwest region remains mostly positive due to in-migration and key business sectors.
By David Payne Last updated