Cast in this light, Legg Mason Value may be overrated. The fund (LMVTX) beat the Russell 1000 index, which contains the 1,000 largest U.S. companies, in just 120 out of 199 rolling periods, or 60% of the time. (It topped the S&P 500 in 67% of these rolling periods.)
The current champ, Kinetics Paradigm (WWNPX), underscores both the beauty and shortcomings of this kind of analysis. The technique can reveal undiscovered gems -- in this case, a fund that has beaten its benchmark (the Russell 1000 Growth index) in every 12-month period of the past 79 months. The problem is that a fund's style -- and, hence, the appropriate benchmark for comparison -- can be a moving target. Until a few months ago, Morningstar considered Paradigm to be a mid-cap blend fund and compared its performance with that of the S&P Midcap 400 index (the fund did well on that basis, too). In fact, Paradigm is a go-anywhere fund that invests in companies of any size and holds a substantial stake in foreign stocks.
Two members of the Kiplinger 25 are consistent winners. Marsico 21st Century (MXXIX) topped the Russell 1000 Growth index 96% of the time. Manager Cory Gilchrist, who also runs the nearly identical, broker-sold Columbia Marsico 21st Century (NMTAX), blends top-down analysis of themes with selection of fast-growing companies. And Dodge & Cox International Stock (DODFX) uses an unusual team-oriented approach to pick undervalued foreign stocks.
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Selected funds that are at least five years old and have outpaced their benchmarks in at least 85% of rolling 12-month periods :
| NO. OF 12-MO. PERIODS/% OF PERIODS BEATING BENCHMARK | |
| Kinetics Paradigm | 79/100% |
| Henderson European Focus | 59/97 |
| Marsico 21st Century | 77/96 |
| Dreyfus Premier Enterprise | 68/96 |
| FMI Large Cap | 55/95 |
| Oakmark Global* | 83/94 |
| SSgA Emerging Markets* | 148/93 |
| Turner Emerging Growth* | 101/89 |
| Dodge & Cox Intl Stock | 62/89 |
| Cambiar Opportunity* | 97/86 |
SOURCE: ©2007 Morningstar Inc.
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