Looking Back at 2011: Our Forecasting Hits and Misses

We know you count on Kiplinger for guidance. So we're our own harshest critic.

In 1941, baseball great Ted Williams batted .406 for the season, making him the last major leaguer to bat over .400 -- that is, collect a base hit slightly more than four times out of every 10 at bats. It's impossible to assemble sound statistics on our batting average -- for one thing, there's no umpire behind the plate calling balls, strikes and fouls, much less umps in the field to declare a ground-rule double.

But at the end of each year, we do take a look back at major forecasts to see how we did. Although we might not deliver a performance worthy of Williams, we're at least in the neighborhood of Albert Pujols and Matt Kemp -- solid hitters that any team would be glad to have.

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Melissa S. Bristow
Managing Editor, the Kiplinger letters
As Managing Editor of the Kiplinger letters, Bristow oversees the staff of editors and reporters who produce the weekly Kiplinger Letter as well as the biweekly Kiplinger Tax and Kiplinger Agriculture letters. She's a hands-on journalist, who does much of the writing and editing of The Kiplinger Letter, as well as editing the "Practical Economics" column and Economic Outlooks on Kiplinger.com. Bristow started her career at Kiplinger nearly 30 years ago as assistant editor of the Agriculture Letter. She is a graduate of Smith College.