Spotify Technology (SPOT) stock shot higher out of the gate Wednesday after the audio streaming company issued a strong profit and user forecast for its fourth quarter. This forecast is offsetting a top- and bottom-line miss for its third-quarter results.
In the three months ended September 30, Spotify's revenue increased 18.8% year over year to 3.99 billion euros, primarily driven by subscriber gains and price increases. Its net profit more than quadrupled from the year-ago period to 1.45 euros per share.
"Q3 is another standout in what you've heard me refer to as 'the year of monetization,' and we are on track for our first full year of profitability," said Spotify CEO Daniel Ek in prepared remarks. "We outperformed on both subscribers and monthly active users (MAUs), revenues were in line, and we had significant beats on gross margin and operating income. We also had another sequential – and all-time record – quarter of free cash flow."
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
While Spotify met or exceeded the outlook it provided in its second-quarter report, the results fell short of analysts' expectations. Wall Street was anticipating revenue of 4.02 billion euros and earnings of 1.72 euros per share, according to CNBC.
Spotify also said its monthly active users came in at 640 million, representing an increase of 11.5% from the year-ago period and 2.2% from the prior quarter. Premium subscribers totaled 252 million, up 11.5% year over year and 2.4% quarter over quarter. Analysts had forecast MAUs of 639 million.
For the fourth quarter, Spotify said it expects to achieve total MAUs of 665 million, total premium subscribers of 260 million, total revenue of 4.1 billion euros and operating income of 481 million euros. Analysts were anticipating monthly active users of 659.3 million, revenue of 4.26 billion euros and operating income of 432.7 million euros.
Is Spotify stock a buy, sell or hold?
Spotify has been on a roll in 2024, rising over 140% for the year to date at the time of this writing. Unsurprisingly, Wall Street is bullish on the communication services stock. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, the consensus recommendation among analysts it tracks is a Buy.
However, analysts' price targets have failed to keep up with the large-cap stock's ascent. The average price target of $437.89 represents a discount to its current price. Analysts may very well raise their price targets in the days and weeks ahead following the earnings release.
Indeed, financial services firm Jefferies maintained its Buy rating after earnings and raised their price target to $540 from $445.
"We believe SPOT has the runway via user growth and pricing to deliver sustainable 15%+ revenue growth through 2026," says Jefferies analyst James Heaney. "We believe price increases coming every other year and bundling can help drive the next leg of growth."
Related Content
-
Average Net Worth by Age: How Do You Measure Up?Financial advisors discuss the secrets to growing your net worth over time.
-
Three Charitable Giving Strategies for High-Net-Worth IndividualsIf you have $1 million or more saved for retirement, these charitable giving strategies can help you give efficiently and save on taxes.
-
Three Charitable Giving Strategies for High-Net-Worth Individuals
If you have $1 million or more saved for retirement, these charitable giving strategies can help you give efficiently and save on taxes.
-
The Wealth-Building Powers of Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)Health savings accounts could be the most underutilized wealth-building tool out there. Here’s who should use them and how to maximize their benefits.
-
Seven Ways to Be an Absolute Jerk as a LawyerHere's what law students need to know about damaging their relationships with other lawyers and judges and running up the bill for clients.
-
Stock Market Today: Stocks Are Positively Mixed to Open DecemberTechnology led the way Monday as two of the three main equity indexes closed higher.
-
The Best Retail Stocks to Buy This Holiday SeasonE-commerce is a growing trend, but most folks still prefer to shop in stores. That makes these dominant retail stocks worth a closer look.
-
One Good Way to Withdraw Retirement Assets (and a Bad One)Don't withdraw retirement assets haphazardly. Managing distributions intentionally can lower your taxes, conserve your wealth and reduce Medicare premiums.
-
What Is Capital Gains Tax Deferral?Spoiler alert: It's the secret weapon of savvy real estate investors. Here's how it works and details about the tools you need to do it.
-
Don't Leave Your Heirs an IRA Tax BombYour traditional IRA has served you well, but when your heirs inherit it, watch out. Consider some of these strategies to minimize their tax burdens.
