Are You Better Off Now Than You Were Four Years Ago?
Determine if you are better off now — compare today's economy to 2020, from gas prices to employment.


“Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” So asked the 1980 presidential candidate, Ronald Reagan, channeling one of the main reasons we vote for one candidate over another: the economy.
That seemingly glib line helped propel him into the White House for the first of two terms. “It seemed to resonate with voters,” says Pete Earle, a senior research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research. “Many people vote on the basis of kitchen table issues and how far their dollars go.”
The last few years have been tumultuous for the economy. The pandemic lockdowns and the surge in inflation rattled people. On Wall Street, the stock market and the bond market collapsed to eye-watering depths in 2022, and back in the last quarter of 2020, we were still grappling with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
Will this generation of voters solely look to their pocketbooks? It’s hard to tell, says Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth. People sometimes look only at what’s hurting them, not what helped them. For instance, some people may remember the surge in food prices but forget that wages have partially caught up. “The average person may say they are worse off because they can’t afford bacon,” he says. “They also seem to remember inflation going up, not when it comes down.”
Of course, every voter is different. Young voters may tend to focus more on the cost of paying off their student loans or buying their first home. As people approach retirement, they have different priorities, different concerns and different buying patterns.
Are you better off now? By the numbers
With that in mind, we’ve built a table of key economic and social indicators. The details include where the metric — such as the value of the S&P 500 — was in November 2020, and where it was recently.
We’ve marked each indicator as “better,” “worse” or “about the same.” We consider the overall rate of inflation, 21% over the period, as worse. But, generally, if a price goes up less than the overall inflation rate, then we count that as better. If, however, a price rises at a rate greater than inflation, it’s counted as worse. Conversely, if an asset value or income exceeds inflation, we count that as better.
Indicator | November 2020 | July 2024 | Difference | Better? Worse? About the same? | Notes and comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Price Index for Americans 62 and older (R-CPI-E) | 283.922 | 343.324 | Indicates inflation of 21% over the period, virtually the same as the overall CPI. | Worse | Inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022. In November 2020, the year-over-year inflation rate was 1.2%. In July of this year, it was 2.9% |
Median personal income after inflation | $35,860 | $49,001 | On average, workers saw a 37% increase in pay. | Better | Row 1 - Cell 5 |
S&P 500 | 3310 | 5522 | The index gained 67%, excluding dividends. | Better | Row 2 - Cell 5 |
Average monthly Social Security check | $1,458 | $1,918 | That's a 32% increase, beating inflation by 10 points. | Better | Benefits rose 8.7% in 2023, the largest yearly increase in decades. |
Median monthly traditional Medicare Part B premium | $144.60 | $ 174.70 | Up 21%, in line with inflation | About the same | Row 4 - Cell 5 |
COVID deaths (monthly) | 53,248 | 2,207 | A decline of more than 95.9% | Better | Deaths peaked in January 2021, at 98,174 |
Typical cost of a pair of hearing aids | $2,600 - $4,000 | $2,000 - $3,600 | Price cuts from 10% to 23% or more. | Better | Congress passed a law in 2017 allowing aids to be sold without prescriptions, taking effect in 2022. Less technologically sophisticated aids are available today for as low as $100 a pair. |
Average cost of a new car | $ 39,295 | $48,401 | That's an increase of 23%, two points more than inflation | Worse | Car manufacturing was disrupted somewhat during the pandemic as some components couldn't be delivered. |
Nursing home costs per month | $8,821 | $10,025 | That's an increase of 15% over the last four years, less than the inflation rate. | Better | Costs remain high, with the average private nursing home costing $10,025 a month and public nursing homes costing $8,929. |
Average existing home prices | $311,000 | $427,000 | That's a 37% increase in value. | Better | Better for older homeowners who are selling than for younger ones who are buying. |
Case-Shiller housing price index | 232 | 325 | That's a 40% increase | Better | Better for older owners than younger buyers. |
Cost of borrowing: 30-year fixed rate mortgages | 2.78% | 6.73% | That's more than double the home loan interest rate. | Worse | The Federal Reserve raised interest rates to fight inflation. |
Cost of borrowing: Credit cards | 14.65% | 23.17% | That's a 48% increase in credit card interest | Worse | The Federal Reserve raised interest rates to fight inflation. |
Average price of a gallon of regular gasoline | $2.12 | $3.52 | A whopping 66% increase, three times the 21% increase in the CPI. | Worse | While prices were low in 2020 due to the decline in demand during the pandemic, price rises were likely tempered partly by increased oil production. U.S. crude oil output rose to 13.3 million barrels/day in July 2024, up from 10.5 million in early November 2020. |
Food and beverage inflation CPI for seniors | 274.893 | 335.191 | That's a 22% increase, one point above the overall Senior CPI | Worse | Economists say much of food inflation likely results from rising fuel costs after Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. |
U.S. life expectancy | 78.93 | 79.25 | A modest increase, less than 1% | About the same | The figures are based on life expectancy at birth. |
Cost of monthly electricity bill | $117 | $147 | A 26% increase, well in excess of the overall inflation rate. | Worse | Electric cars, crypto mining and AI chips require more electricity. The price of coal, which is commonly used for electricity generation, is also higher. |
Number of job openings | 6.9 million | 8.2 million | That's a hefty increase in job openings | Better | Row 17 - Cell 5 |
Unemployment rate | 6.7% | 4.3% | That's a significant improvement | Better | Row 18 - Cell 5 |
Table Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Y-Charts; USA Facts; Social Security Administration; Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; Audiology Island; Hearing Tracker; Senior Living; Consumer Affairs; Mortgage Bankers Association; Trading Economics; Wallet Hub; Cox Automotive; S&P Global; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Macrotrends; Smart Asset; Save on Energy; Our World in Data.
Note: This item first appeared in Kiplinger Retirement Report, our popular monthly periodical that covers key concerns of affluent older Americans who are retired or preparing for retirement. Subscribe for retirement advice that’s right on the money.
Read More
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.

Simon Constable is co-author of The Wall Street Journal Guide to the 50 Economic Indicators That Really Matter.
-
The 28% Rule for Housing: Does It Still Work in Today’s Market?
Rising home prices and stubborn mortgage rates put this long-standing rule to the test.
-
Spirit Airlines' Future in Doubt: What This Means for Budget Travel
Spirit Airlines says it may not survive another year. Here's how its potential collapse could affect low-cost flights and what it means for travelers seeking affordable airfare.
-
Bonds Pay in Good and Bad Times
Bonds can act as a financial safety net through good times and bad. But different bonds carry different returns and risks, so do your homework before investing.
-
When You Need Capital Quickly, Think 'Ready, Set, Fund': A Financial Adviser's Strategy
Investors must be able to free up cash to meet short-term needs from time to time. This strategy will help you access capital without derailing your long-term goals.
-
I'm an Estate Planner: Moving Family Assets to a Safe Haven Abroad Could Be a Huge Headache for Your Heirs
In troubled times like these, wealthy clients may seek financial refuge outside of the U.S. But that could cause more tax and estate problems than it solves.
-
A Timeline of Warren Buffett's Life and Berkshire Hathaway
Buffett was the face of Berkshire Hathaway for 60 years. Here's a timeline of how he built the sprawling holding company and its outperforming equity portfolio.
-
Fall Is Tax Time? Yes! Act Now to Make Needed Adjustments
Review your withholdings, contribute to tax-saving HSA and FSA accounts, manage a bonus' impact and adjust for major life events such as weddings and job changes.
-
Board Service in Retirement: The Best Time to Join a Board Is Before You Retire
Many senior executives wait until retirement to take a seat on a corporate board. But making this career move early is a win-win for you and your current organization.
-
A Financial Professional's Take on Long-Term Care Insurance: Buy or Not?
Unless you have about $6,000 burning a hole in your pocket every month, you should make a plan in case you need long-term care. Luckily, you have options.
-
How to Unearth Sustainable Investment in Mining: A Financial Professional's Guide
Mining is likely to play a critical role in the global transition to more environmentally friendly energy resources. Here's how you can balance the opportunities and the risks.