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Economic Forecasts

8 Ways the Drought Will Affect You

This year's drought, which is toasting more than half of the U.S., is the nation’s worst since the 1950s.

by: Ed Maixner, Ted Leonhardt
January 1, 2012

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This year's drought, which is toasting more than half of the U.S., is the nation’s worst since the 1950s. Its impact will ripple through the economy, touching lives in a myriad of different ways -- from an uptick in fuel and some food prices to stringent water use restrictions. There are some drought upsides, too, including tastier fruit because most fruit trees like it dry, thank you very much.

Click through our slide show to see what the drought spells for you.

1 of 9

Higher Milk Prices

Grilled rib steak

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Drought and heat are stressing dairy cows, leading to lower milk production and higher milk prices in grocery stores in coming months. Though a gallon of milk has averaged 2% less than a year ago in recent months, slipping below $3.40, the drought will force an about-face. Look for milk and other dairy product prices to average at least 4% more next year than this year.

2 of 9

Cheaper Steaks (at least for now)

fruit

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The drought will coax down already-falling beef prices even further, on average, from a record $5.09 a pound in January. Cattle ranchers are rushing to sell off more breeding stock because a whopping three-fourths of U.S. grazing areas are scorched.

Meanwhile, more cows are being slaughtered because pricey corn and soybean meal, both up 30%-40% since early June, make feeding them too costly.

The added beef on the market will trim both wholesale and retail prices. But next year, prices will zoom back up because of the depleted cattle herd.

3 of 9

Tastier Fruit

Set of refreshing soda drinks in metal cans

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Thirsty tree roots need water, to be sure, but most fruit and fruit-tree leaves, not so much. Drought starves the fungi, bacteria and other organisms that want to foul a tree's fruit or destroy its leaves. So an unusually dry season produces high-quality fruit, even though thirsty soils can result in smaller fruit size, from apples in the North to peaches in Georgia.

Note, too, that while most of the country is parched, leading fruit-growing regions -- those near the West, Atlantic and Gulf coasts and parts of the North -- have had enough rain for their orchards this year, or they're irrigating. So shortages aren't likely, and prices of major selections, including cherries, cantaloupes and avocados, are running cheaper than a year ago.

4 of 9

Soda Shortage?

Pumping gas

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No worries, soda lovers. Though the vastly stunted corn crop will deplete the supplies of high-fructose corn syrup used in making soft drinks, sweets and bakery products, there'll still be plenty of your favorite soft drinks to go around. Soda makers will simply switch to using sugar instead of corn syrup, which some folks think is better for you anyway. As it turns out, U.S. sugar stocks are ample and an expected record crop of U.S. sugar beets in northern states this fall, followed by a big sugar cane harvest in the Gulf Coast region, ensures a more-than-adequate supply of sweeteners.

5 of 9

A Bump at the Gas Pump

Campfire

Thinkstock

By law, ethanol makes up 10% of the gasoline that most consumers buy at the pump, and ethanol prices are slowly rising in a nod to climbing prices of corn, a key feedstock for making ethanol. Some ethanol refineries are already cutting production. The decrease in savings from mixing ethanol in gasoline could raise gas prices by a few cents, especially as the effects of the drought become clearer in the coming months. Nonetheless, the price of crude oil plays a far greater role in determining prices at the pump.

6 of 9

Widespread Burning Bans

Open fire hydrant

Thinkstock

Even if your neck of the woods never or rarely faces burning restrictions, you may see them this year. Large swaths of Northern California, the Midwest and the Southeast are all at a high risk for blazes. Usually-moist Missouri is now a declared drought area, for example, the first time in several decades that the state has announced a summer fire season. And in temperate Indiana, which has 40 inches of annual precipitation normally, nearly all counties have implemented burn bans.

7 of 9

Water Use Restrictions

mosquito

Thinkstock

With 80% of the contiguous 48 states very short on rainfall this year, millions of urban and rural Americans will live with water use restrictions until rain recharges water sources and the spike in demand eases. Indianapolis residents can't water their lawns, for example, and in Nebraska, irrigation from most rivers and streams is banned, cutting off water to 1,100 farmers' fields.

Water conservation measures and use restrictions aren't common only to the dry Southwest and Great Plains anymore. Expanding population and increasing use of fresh water has led two-thirds of cities nationally, including 60% of small cities, to install conservation measures that can be activated when water is short.

8 of 9

More Mosquitoes at Your Cookout

Close-up of cashier taking credit card from customer at grocery store

Thinkstock

The drought is generally detrimental to mosquito populations. Small pools, puddles, gutters and other favored breeding areas dry up with lack of rain. Still, the drought offers mosquitoes new breeding environs. As water levels fall in some ponds and streams, the bugs can reproduce on the edges of the stagnant pools that remain. Mosquito populations tend to dwindle in late summer, but the pests could rebound when these new habitats become more common throughout the drought.

9 of 9

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