Is Chipotle Stock Still a Buy After Earnings?
Chipotle stock is extending its recent slide despite a Q2 earnings beat, leaving some folks to wonder if it's still a buy. Here's what you need to know.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) stock jumped more than 5% in Wednesday's extended session after the burrito chain beat top- and bottom-line expectations in its second-quarter earnings report. However, shares quickly fell into the negative territory at the start of Thursday's session.
In the three months ended June 30, Chipotle said revenue increased 18% year-over-year to $3 billion, driven by new restaurant openings, a nearly 9% jump in restaurant traffic, and an 11% rise in comparable-restaurant sales. Its earnings per share (EPS) were up 36% from the year-ago period to 34 cents.
"The second quarter was outstanding as successful brand marketing, including the return of Chicken Al Pastor, drove strong demand to our restaurants," Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol said in a statement. "Our focus and training around throughput paid off as we were able to meet the stronger demand trends with terrific service and speed driving over 8% transaction growth in the quarter."
Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
The results exceeded analysts' expectations. Wall Street was anticipating revenue of $2.9 billion and earnings of 32 cents per share, according to CNBC.
As a result of its performance in the first half of the year, Chipotle reiterated its full-year outlook. It continues to anticipate comparable-restaurant sales growth in the mid- to high-single digits and expects to open between 285 and 315 new restaurants.
Is Chipotle stock a buy, sell or hold?
Chipotle stock had a strong start to 2024 and was up nearly 50% for the year to date through June 18. However, shares have been in a slump since Chipotle underwent a 50-to-1 stock split.
Still, analysts remain bullish on the consumer discretionary stock. According to S&P Global Market Intelligence, the average analyst target price for CMG stock is $63.71, representing an upside of more than 25% from current levels. Additionally, the consensus recommendation is Buy.
Financial services firm Stifel is one of the more bullish outfits on CMG stock with a Buy rating and $70 price target.
"We believe the brand can continue to drive sales momentum utilizing new menu news, digital engagement and ongoing operational improvements," Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull said in a note following Chipotle's earnings release.
The analyst adds that Chipotle "has a considerable runway for new unit development" thanks to its Chipotlane drive-thru format that's "anticipated to reach a more meaningful percentage of the total footprint over the next few years, which should drive healthy margin expansion."
Stifel's $70 price target represents sits nearly 40% above where CMG stock is currently trading.
Related Content
Get Kiplinger Today newsletter — free
Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.
Joey Solitro is a freelance financial journalist at Kiplinger with more than a decade of experience. A longtime equity analyst, Joey has covered a range of industries for media outlets including The Motley Fool, Seeking Alpha, Market Realist, and TipRanks. Joey holds a bachelor's degree in business administration.
-
Stock Market Today: Dow Logs Longest Losing Streak Since April
The November Producer Price Index showed that inflation remains a tough beast to tame.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Why Uber Stock Is Volatile After GM's Cruise Announcement
Uber stock is swinging this week following news that General Motors is restructuring its Cruise unit. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Stock Market Today: Dow Logs Longest Losing Streak Since April
The November Producer Price Index showed that inflation remains a tough beast to tame.
By Karee Venema Published
-
Why Uber Stock Is Volatile After GM's Cruise Announcement
Uber stock is swinging this week following news that General Motors is restructuring its Cruise unit. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Why Adobe Stock Is Down After Its Earnings Beat
Adobe stock is lower Thursday despite the tech giant beating expectations for its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter. Here's what you need to know.
By Joey Solitro Published
-
Three Possible Tax Impacts for Retirees Under Trump
How might a second Trump term affect your tax bill in retirement — or the inheritance tax bill for your heirs? This pro has three predictions.
By Evan T. Beach, CFP®, AWMA® Published
-
What to Know About Leverage and Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise
Leverage in the financial world can lead to astonishing success or a crushing collapse. How are investors using leverage to invest in bitcoin?
By Stephen P. Harbeck Published
-
How Do You Know When It's Time to Change Financial Advisers?
Sometimes a breakup is for the best. Here's how to handle 'the talk' and make the switch to a new professional who's a better fit for you.
By Kelli Kiemle, AIF® Published
-
Stock Market Today: Tech Stocks Rally as CPI Supports Lower Rates
An inline inflation report sealed the deal for a December rate cut and sent the tech sector soaring.
By Dan Burrows Published
-
CPI Report Casts Doubt on Rate Cuts in 2025: What the Experts Are Saying About Inflation
CPI November Consumer Price Index data sealed the deal for a December rate cut, but the outlook for next year is less certain.
By Dan Burrows Published