Cryptocurrencies Won't Replace Currencies: They Will Replace Stock Exchanges
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are all the buzz, and that interest is creating a surge in initial coin offerings. Many ICOs today are essentially bogus, but the trend has fascinating implications for the future of stock markets themselves.
Over the last year and a half, there has been an irrational surge in initial coin offerings (ICOs). Many of these ICOs were not bringing anything new or valuable to the table, but just riding the wave of publicity that popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin have garnered.
There has been a lot of discussion about whether Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are a bubble and about their value as currencies. Interestingly, the government has taken a position that cryptocurrencies are not, in fact, currencies at all. Instead, they are more like a good or a commodity.
However, it appears that maybe everyone was wrong. The SEC has started to look at ICOs as a form of stock or ownership, which could have a tremendous impact on the future of investing.
ICOs Come and Go: Cryptostocks are Here to Stay?
Studies and reviews of ICOs over the last year have found that most ICOs fail pretty quickly. This is not a surprise, as many of them do not have real business plans or companies behind the ICO. Most of these ICOs are just trying to capitalize on the hype surrounding other cryptocurrencies. There is clearly a strong desire among many individuals to decouple their money and finances from a centralized and controlled system. As such, cryptocurrencies have appealed to a number of people who do not trust or believe in the current monetary system. While there is some traction here, the idea that a cryptocurrency will fully supplant the U.S. dollar in the near or even distant future seems highly unlikely.
With this in mind, it may time for blockchain assets to undergo some rebranding. Instead of looking at tokens as coins, it may be better to see them as cryptostocks. Among other things, blockchain tokens or coins give owners access to whatever is the underlying platform. They may also grant special platform rights to the people who hold them, which could be voting rights, ownership rights, or even dividends. In many ways, blockchain assets are an amalgamation of stock-based equity ownership and boardroom-style membership rights.
SEC Gets Sneaky to Prove a Point
The SEC has tried to highlight the dangers around investing in ICOs without fully vetting them. The SEC set up a fake website about a “HoweyCoin” ICO to illustrate this point, complete with celebrity endorsements and a fake white paper, and it appears to have been taken seriously by more than a few investors! At a minimum, it got a lot of press and attention.
The SEC wants potential investors to do their due diligence with ICOs, which means working with a professional who understands the cryptocurrency world and has worked with successful ICOs, and also doing background checks into the individuals running the ICO.
The SEC has indicated that ICOs are going to become more regulated in the future and its comments have suggested that the tokens generated from an ICO may be a form of stock ownership. Further regulation could have a stabilizing effect, which would cut down substantially on the number of failed attempts.
A Stock Market Revolution
While many in the general public might view ICOs as simply an offering of a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin, ICOs have the potential to be so much more. Their real challenge and disruption to the status quo might not be in challenging currencies, but instead challenging the way that stocks are bought and sold. They represent a real change in accounting and technology when backed by blockchain that could completely disrupt IPOs and stock exchanges. Blockchain and coin offerings could replace stocks as a form of ownership, essentially cutting out middlemen traders and opening up equity ownership in a way we have never seen before.
Emerging companies are using coin offerings as more than merely a currency challenge; they are using them as an access point and an ownership structure. The ease with which coins can be exchanged over blockchain, without middlemen and transaction costs, could totally disrupt traditional stock-ownership structures and markets. We are seeing the emergence of a truly global financial market that uses the Internet as a platform.
While we might have already passed the initial phase of overexuberance for ICOs, don’t expect the growth of ICOs to slow down or cease. Companies will continue to look at ICOs as a way to disrupt the status quo, take advantage of this new technology, and try to figure out how it can fit into their business model and add real value.
The role of ICOs as a flat digital currency with no other use besides replacing more traditional forms of currency will struggle, but ICOs could replace IPOs and disrupt the entire stock exchange system.
About the Author
Director of Retirement Research, Carson Wealth
Jamie Hopkins is a well-recognized writer, speaker and thought leader in the area of retirement income planning. He serves as Director of Retirement Research at Carson Group and is a finance professor of practice at Creighton University's Heider College of Business. His most recent book, "Rewirement: Rewiring The Way You Think About Retirement," details the behavioral finance issues that hold people back from a more financially secure retirement.