Medicare Drug Price Negotiations Latest: Kiplinger Economic Forecasts
Early signs have emerged of how these key drug price negotiations will be handled.


Healthcare, health insurance and Medicare are hot topics and controversial topics at times too. Developments in this sector naturally impact our well-being and they also have a major effect on the economy and political circles.
To help you understand what is going on and what we expect to happen in the future, our highly-experienced Kiplinger Letter team will keep you abreast of the latest developments and forecasts (Get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter or subscribe). You'll get all the latest news first by subscribing, but we will publish many (but not all) of the forecasts a few days afterward online. Here’s the latest...
Some early signs of how Medicare will handle drug price negotiations: Officials plan to announce the initial group of drugs later this year, the first 10 of 140 drugs for which the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) will be able to negotiate the price by 2033.

Sign up for Kiplinger’s Free E-Newsletters
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.
Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail.
This will give manufacturers time to prepare for talks, which will start for Medicare Part D drugs in 2026 and 2027.
Among the factors that CMS will consider in valuing a drug:
- Clinical benefits
- The net price of alternatives
- Research costs
- Revenue
- Patent protections and
- Federal funding
The industry is warning about lower investment in certain kinds of drugs, namely small-molecule drugs, which are exempt from negotiations for seven years after approval by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) vs. 11 years for large-molecule drugs or biologics. Small-molecule drugs are manufactured via chemical synthesis and include things like aspirin and other “medicine cabinet” pharmaceuticals.
This forecast first appeared in The Kiplinger Letter. Since 1923, the Letter has helped millions of business executives and investors profit by providing reliable forecasts on business and the economy, as well as what to expect from Washington. Subscribe or get a free issue of The Kiplinger Letter.

-
Increasingly, Red States Embrace Marijuana: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Ohio becomes the 24th state to legalize marijuana for recreational use via a voter referendum.
By Sean Lengell Published
-
Charlie Munger of Berkshire Hathaway Has Died
Charlie Munger, vice chair of Berkshire Hathaway, died Tuesday, the company confirmed.
By Alexandra Svokos Published
-
The Recent Uptick In Global Trade Won’t Last: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Global trade continues to fall as economic growth around the world cools.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Published
-
Consumers Have $1 Trillion More Savings Post-Pandemic: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter GDP data show Americans have more savings than they did pre-pandemic.
By David Payne Published
-
Once-Booming Gun Sales Have Slumped: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Since 2022, FBI background checks, a close proxy for gun purchases, have slumped.
By Sean Lengell Published
-
The Era of Super-Low Interest Rates Could Be Over: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter We’re likely never going back to the historically low rates that prevailed in late 2019 and early 2020.
By David Payne Published
-
Rental Market Will Slow Through 2023: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter Expected growth in the rental market is likely to remain slow for the rest of the year amid a slow housing market and cooling economy.
By Rodrigo Sermeño Last updated
-
What Is Comprehensive Coverage and What Does It Cover?
insurance This grab bag of coverages can protect you and your vehicle from theft, fire and forces of nature.
By Donna LeValley Published
-
Passport Processing Times Speed Up: The Kiplinger Letter
The Kiplinger Letter The State Department credits an increase in staff and new technology with shrinking processing times.
By Sean Lengell Published
-
Five Tax Breaks for Paying Your Student Loan
Tax Letter After a three-year pause, student loan payments have resumed, putting a dent in people's wallets. But there are some tax breaks that can help.
By Joy Taylor Published