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Some Scary Signs for Foreign Companies in China

Chinese workers detained their South Korean bosses for days, Chinese officials shrugged. How worried should other companies be?
 
 
Stratfor
Stratfor, short for Strategic Forecasting Inc., is the world’s leading private intelligence company. Founded in 1996, Stratfor delivers to its clients real-time intelligence, analysis and forecasts on geopolitical, economic, security and public policy issues.

How's this for an executive's nightmare? Company managers try to shut down an under-performing factory in a foreign country and end up being seized by workers furious over the prospect of losing long-owed pay. And government authorities turn their backs on the situation, regarding the matter as an internal company matter. This happened just recently to a South Korean firm -- not in some near-lawless territory where businesses take risks to be near oil or other valuable resource, but in China.

Harsh working conditions and pay disputes -- and angry backlash from workers -- are not unusual in China, especially in remote regions still new to the rush of industrialization. But the Chinese government has always protected foreign firms in the past. "Internal considerations probably are partially behind Beijing's reluctance to get involved, but the central government's failure to act also may be a signal to foreign investors that past levels of government protection for them are no longer guaranteed," cautions the global intelligence firm Stratfor.

Such drastic action as holding a factory management team over a pay dispute is not particularly surprising. Stratfor points out that there has been long-standing tension between many South Korean companies (which have a reputation in China for mistreatment of workers) and their Chinese employees and that the issue of unpaid wages is a festering and explosive political issue in the country. Moreover, Chinese officials have the time and ability to reassure foreigners that the incident is an anomaly and that legal protections for them are intact.

However, given the loss of some tax breaks and other incentives for foreign investment in recent years, Stratfor says, the government's initial response toward the incident can be read as yet another warning signal for companies eyeing expansion into China.

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