Congress won't reject out of hand President Bush's call to restrain domestic spending programs unrelated to national defense and homeland security, but it won't come close to making the deep cuts in dozens of popular programs on his target list, either.
Lawmakers, for instance, will agree to trim housing and urban development programs, but not by $3.7 billion, as the president proposed. Doing so would gut programs that are popular on both sides of the political aisle, including community development block grants used for urban renewal. Similarly, Congress will agree to pare agriculture programs, including shaving price supports for several commodities, but it won't decrease the entire agriculture budget by the nearly 10% Bush proposed.
Congress will also keep operating subsidies for Amtrak, which received $1.2 billion for the current fiscal year. While the train service has many critics because it has never been profitable, it also has strong supporters in both parties, especially from states in the Northeast with heavy commuter traffic. Those advocates will ensure that operating subsidies continue.
At the same time, there will be reluctance, including among some conservatives, to go along with Bush's proposal to significantly boost foreign aid while reducing the budget for nondefense needs at home. And many Democrats will decry the cost of the Bush tax cuts, saying that reductions in domestic programs, especially for low-income families, would not be considered were it not for the tax cuts and their effect on the deficit.
The inability of Congress to make all the decreases the president wants will affect his ability to keep a pledge to slice the deficit in half, from last year's $521-billion level, by the time he leaves office. For too many members of Congress, saving programs they want will prove to be more important than trimming the deficit.
Researcher-Reporter: Kathy Rowings