Mutual fund investors ... brace yourselves! Funds are about to begin doling out billions of dollars in year-end distributions.
This year's largesse will surpass last year's record of $481 billion, estimates Tom Roseen, a senior research analyst for Lipper, a firm that specializes in mutual fund information. Roseen says three factors are driving the enormous payouts:
Carry-over losses from the 2000-2001 down market -- which managers have used to offset gains in recent years -- have been pretty much used up.
As more investors shift from small-capitalization and value stocks to big-company and growth stocks, fund managers have had to realign portfolios, realizing gains that now have to be distributed.
The volatility that has plagued the market this year has prompted investors to move in and out of funds which, again, has forced managers to sell stocks.
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The combination could push 2007 fund distributions over the half-trillion-dollar mark. It can bring both tax headaches and opportunities.
First the headache part: Distributions threaten investors who buy a fund just before a payout. That might seem pretty smart: After all, you get a full-year's income even if you've owned for just a few days. But it's really a blunder.
When the distribution is paid, the share value falls by the same amount. A $10 payout knocks $10 off the share price. Recent buyers effectively get a rebate of part of the purchase price.
The bad news is you have to pay tax on that "refund." You're better off buying just after the ex-dividend date rather than just before it.
Now, for the opportunity: If you're planning to sell a fund soon, you're probably better off doing it before rather than after the distribution.
Remember, what's being paid out may be a combination of long-term gains realized by the fund, short-term gains, interest and dividends. Before the payout, it's all built into the share price.
So if you've owned the fund for more than a year, all the profit on the sale will be treated as a long-term capital gain -- taxed at a maximum rate of 15%.
If you sell after the payout, you'll have less gain to report because the share price falls. But part of the distribution -- the part that represents short-term gains, non-qualifying dividends and interest -- can be taxed as high as 35%. Selling sooner rather than later lets you dodge that inflated tax bill.
Again, let's look at a $10 per share distribution made up of $3 a share of long-term gains, $1 a share of qualifying dividends, $3 a share of short-term gains and $3 a share of interest.
If you sell before the payout, the entire $10 is built into the share price, lifting your profit by $10 a share ... all of which is tax-favored capital gains. If you have 1,000 shares, the $10,000 of profit costs you $1,500 in tax.
But what happens if you sell just after the distribution?
Because the share price has fallen by $10 to account for the payout, your profit drops by $10,000. And, with $10,000 less long-term capital gain income to report, your tax bill falls by $1,500.
That's a good thing, but consider the cost: The $6 a share of the distribution made up of short-term gain and interest would now be taxed at your top bracket. In the 35% bracket, that would cost you $2,100. And the $4,000 of the payout made up of long-term gains and qualifying dividends would be taxed at 15%, adding add another $600 to the bill.
Tax on the $10,000 if you sell before the distribution: $1,500. Tax if you sell afterward: $2,700.
So, selling sooner rather than later in this example would save you $1,200.
Never let the tax consequences control when you buy or sell a mutual fund. But, if you've decided to buy or sell in the final few weeks of the year, watch the calendar. A few days difference could pay off handsomely. Mutual fund Web sites often include information on the size and timing of year-end distributions.